This post will answer the question “What share of the USA’s Whites live ‘around’ significant numbers of Blacks?”, with ‘around’ being defined very broadly as “in the same metropolitan area”. Following will be a short discussion of what this data meant in the 2008 election, and for our society as a whole into the 2010s.
In a previous post (The Blackest Metro Areas), we see that only a small number of metropolitan areas have significant Black populations. (Specifically, of the 366 metro areas identified by Census 2010, only 22 are at least one-third Black, and 63 are over-20% Black. Only in Sumter, SC and Albany, GA do Blacks outnumber Whites, metro-wide).
First, let’s look again at the ‘Whites’ table from the post Metropolitanization By Race:
Size of Metro
|# of Metros||# of Whites
|% of Race’s Total Pop.
In This Size Metro
|Rural (<50k)||–||44.4 million||22.6%|
152.4 million Whites live in a metropolitan area of 50,000+.
Now, using the same Census 2010 data used to produce the lists “Blackest Metros” and “Whitest Metros”, we can find the following:
– 4.33 million Whites live in metros which are over 33.3% Black
— 120.9 million Whites live in metros which are less than 20% Black
— 69.2 million Whites live in metros which are less than 10% Black
— 31.4 million Whites live in metros which are less than 5% Black
— 20.0 million Whites live in metros which are less than 3% Black
A further 44.4 million Whites live outside a metropolitan area, with the majority of those probably in nearly-all-white communities. (Lacking data, I will estimate that 95% of these 44.4 million non-metro Whites live in communities less than 10% Black, =42.2 million non-metro Whites live apart from Blacks).
..42.2 million Non-Metropolitan Whites
+69.2 million Metropolitan Whites
=111.4 million Total Whites Living in a Regions Under-10% Black (56.6% of the USA White Population).
Looking at places (metros and rural) with under-5% Black populations, we find that ~37% of the USA’s Whites live in one.
Few Whites Live Near Blacks
Alas, then, most American Whites do not live anywhere near any appreciable numbers of Blacks, even at the very wide scale of the metropolitan-area. Of those who do live “near” Blacks (within an hour’s traffic-free driving distance, say), they are, of course, generally segregated, with certain parts of a typical metro area heavily-Black while others are all-but-devoid of Blacks. Of those who do share a metropolitan areas with Blacks, relatively few are particularly “integrated”, to use a word by now rather quaint-sounding. Racehist cites a study which suggests that only ~4% of Whites have any Black close friends.
White Support for Obama in 2008
The above discussion can explain a lot about the workings of our Multicultacracy, and almost-certainly explains the election of Barack H. Obama.
Americans remember what a surreal time the 2008 Democratic primary season was. One commentator, David Sirota, implicitly divided the Democratic Primary electorate into three camps:
(2) Whites who live around Blacks
(3) Whites who do not live around Blacks
Group (1), of course, went overwhelmingly for B.H.Obama.
Group (2) went heavily against Obama.
Group (3) went marginally for Obama.
Thus, Obama won two types of states,
a.) Heavily-Black (Southern) states in which Blacks were often the majority of voters in the Democratic primary (as in South Carolina, where 12 Blacks voted for every 10 Whites who voted), and
b.) States with next-to-no Blacks, e.g. Idaho, Vermont, Wyoming, North Dakota, and Utah.
Obama lost almost every single state in between; that is, in which Blacks were a significant share of population but in which Whites were still a strong-enough majority that the Black Vote couldn’t simply steamroll Obama to victory. This will make more sense in visual form. I take the visual from the place I originally found it, Electoral-Vote.com:
In other words, the election of Obama, that supreme triumph for Blacks worldwide (as it was played at the time), depended on Whites. On Whites who were totally naive about Blacks; Whites who had never dealt with Blacks; Whites who did not live near Blacks; whites whose image of Blacks was shaped a lot more from the TV and so on than personal interaction.
Thus, we see something rather…odd. Namely: The integrity, dynamism, and viability of our Multicultacracy itself is dependent upon, heavily dependent upon, enough of the native population not experiencing it. All sorts of things are only possible in that way. The poetic capstone to this phenomenon was Obama’s election in 2008: Voting patterns bear out that he only won the votes of Whites who live far, far away from Blacks.
In the simplest terms:
The American Multicultacracy needs enough Whites to not experience it to survive.