Daniel Uhlfelder, the Covid-demagogue and Panic-pusher, runs for Florida attorney general 2022: his campaign and rivals

Daniel Uhlfelder was a highly active and visible member of the Covid “Pro-Panic” coalition in 2020 and 2021, the quintessential “Panic-pusher.” (See: “On Daniel Uhlfelder, Corona-activist and Panic-pusher; an exploration into ‘why’ some embraced the Panic.”)

Now the prolific Covid-activist Uhlfelder is building upon the notoriety he gained from his role as Pro-Panic partisan during the 2020-2021 Corona-Panic. He has transitioned to a full political career. He is running for Florida attorney general in 2022.

People ask how the Panic happened and how it sustained itself. It developed a coalition of supporters and a layer of champions. Daniel Uhlfelder was one. He had been an anti-Trump and anti-DeSantis gadfly in Florida before the Corona-Panic, and he is the son of one of Florida’s most influential lobbyists. But his real emergence on the scene was with the Corona-Panic in 2020.

Given that Daniel Uhlfelder was a majorly successful “moral entrepreneur” during the Panic, in 2021 I found it of value to profile Daniel Uhlfelder, his family, life, and the influences thinking, in hopes of findings clues to why he embraced the Panic–and thereby why others (may have) embraced the Panic.

This post is a look at the Uhlfelder campaign for Florida attorney general, both his own and the campaigns of his opponents. The intent is to find insights into U.S. politics and to keep an eye on the kind of person who attached himself to the Panic. The bigger question of why the Corona-Panic happened looms over the whole…

Given that this major Pro-Panic figure now has a political career of his own, we have a kind of answer to why some “embraced” the Panic in 2020 and 2021, but there is more of interest and of use here than just that easy insight.

Now that Mr. Uhlfelder is a full political figure in his own right, and now that he might be on the scene a while, the ‘call’ to devote considerable attention to him, as a personage of the Corona-Panic of the early 2020s, turns out to have been quite a prescient call.

(caption: Daniel Uhlfelder in spring 2020.)

My original interest in Daniel Uhlfelder came when I realized what a potentially excellent case-study he was and is, for understanding the Corona-Panickers of 2020-2021. His ostentatious Covid-activism, his firm embrace of Corona-Hysteria, his strident and aggressive Panic-pushing and moral-blackmail against Non-Panickers and (especially) Anti-Panickers like the Florida governor, it all cries out: ‘Why?’


I expect Uhlfelder to win the primary and secure the Democratic nomination for Florida attorney general. That will be in late August 2022. Then I expect he will lose the general election to Ashley Moody, the pro-DeSantis Republican incumbent. His importance is far beyond these predictable results.

As we follow the interesting Corona-Panic personage Uhlfelder along on his political career–into which he coasted on the Panic wave–we find many insights reflecting back on the society which fell to the Panic in 2020. There are insights in this story into the state of U.S. politics (or ethnopolitics), and how it tied into the conditions that gave us the Corona-Panic in 2020. Some were motivated, by politics, to see the Panic as in their interest–and chose the dark path of the demagogue.


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This post will consist of two parts:

(Part I.) Daniel Uhlfelder’s self-introductory campaign video: Evaluation and commentary. A study in double-talk, dog-whistles, and ethnopolitics.

Released in March 2022, Daniel Uhlfelder’s campaign video is only 2 minutes and 40 seconds in length but works like a mini-documentary. It is sleekly produced and highly revealing in multiple ways, as we shall see.

First of all, Daniel Uhlfelder makes no secret that he is running on an anti-DeSantis platform. The video use some well-crafted verbal and visual jiu-jitsu to make Uhlfelder look like the noble victim, the crafty crusader for justice, the fearless whistleblower, the defender of human dignity and rights, while at the same time making DeSantis and company look like political ogres pushing draconian policies to crush the little guy, oppressing everyone in unspecified ways, and making people feel “their lives don’t matter.”

A casual viewer of the Uhlfelder campaign may never guess and miss that it was Uhlfelder, and the Pro-Panic side of which he was such an active and visible part, that wanted to keep up the Panic, avoid critical reevaluations or cost-benefit analyses, impose brutal lockdowns, even go for Canada-style forced vaccinations and digital health-passes.

I evaluate the Daniel Uhlfelder campaign video in two sub-sections: (a.) features of the video relevant to the Corona-Panic, to the Covid-demagogue Uhlfelder’s role in the Panic, and Uhlfelder’s attitudes and positioning towards the Panic two years later. While preparing this essay, I realized that the video itself can be treated as a moment-in-time primary-source on the state of the Pro-Panic side as of March 2022, late in the game. (b.) The non-Covid messaging in the campaign video relevant to U.S. politics. There is an extensive layer of double-talk in Uhlfelder’s rhetoric and framing and references. Different audiences hear different messages, through carefully constructed wording and “dog-whistles,” they key one being his messaging to his own ethnopolitical group while phrasing things just ambiguously enough to make the messages not recognizable to most outgroup members.

(Part II.) An evaluation of Daniel Uhlfelder’s competition in the Florida attorney general race. The first hurdle is the Democratic primary. I expect him to fend off the politically flabby competitors there. Then comes the general election in early November 2022.

Uhlfelder’s main Democratic primary competitor is a “Black Lives Matter”-style, scandal-plagued state prosecutor, Aramis Ayala. It is a little embarrassing that someone like Aramis Ayala is a serious candidate, but a close look at her does give us insights into the state of things.

In the general election, Daniel Uhlfelder will be against the incumbent state attorney general, Ashley Moody, a much more morally serious and rooted political figure (than the BLM candidate Aramis Ayala). Ashley Moody is of a long-established Florida family. As attorney general, she was also one of the unsung heroes of Florida’s successful resistance against the Corona-Panic. She stayed firm with the DeSantis Anti-Panic position all along, and enforced it legally. She had every opportunity to get rewarded by the powerful forces of the Panic if she had defected or tried to undermine the DeSantis government line, but she didn’t.

The Corona-demagogue Daniel Uhlfelder’s “real” opponent, though, is Ron DeSantis. This has been clear from Daniel Uhlfelder’s “schtick” since he began to parade around in the Covid-Grim-Reaper costume with news cameras following, in about late April 2020, and even before that. And not just Ron DeSantis for Governor. The real target is the coming “DeSantis For President 2024” campaign.



Part I. The Daniel Uhlfelder campaign video

This is center-piece campaign commercial released the day Daniel Uhlfelder announced his transition from Covid-demagogue to serious political office seeker. It is an introduction to the candidate:

(“Daniel Uhlfelder for Attorney General,” campaign video, 2m40s, released March 2022.)

The video has gotten millions of views across several platforms. It includes at least 1.2 million views on the original twitter-announcement alone (March 8, 2022).

When Daniel Uhlfelder first posted the video to Twitter, he did it with these words:

“Today I am announcing my candidacy for Attorney General in Florida. Ron DeSantis and his sidekicks in Tallahassee have been warned.”

He used similar wording in other early promotional material. He wants Florida voters to know that his real opponent is Governor DeSantis. His actual opponent for attorney general, Ashley Moody, is almost an afterthought.

Dieter Kief writes on the Uhlfelder campaign video of 2022:

“[It] is perfectly well done. Jaw-droppingly well made. The message is that of absolute individualism. – For everybody else, that is.”

One lesson is Daniel Uhlfelder does not shy away from his embrace of the Corona-Panic, or at least did, as of March 2022. It’s hard to imagine he ever will renounce the Panic, as he is too close to it. How could he?

His generalized anti-DeSantis-ism and his repackaged, self-congratulatory Covid Pro-Panic position fit together, about like this: Governor DeSantis’ flagrant disrespect for the Corona-Moloch meant mass suffering and death, and this was a part of the general baseline meanness and uncaring attitude of DeSantis and his gang. Packaged up and delivered as emotional-political ‘prolefeed’ as needed, this line works on many among us who are not deep thinkers or who are particularly susceptible to emotional manipulation. It is also dangerous and irresponsible, but 2020 shows it can work in a mass-democracy.

There are also some interesting and distinct “reading between the lines” we can apply to this video. Intended audiences will immediately understand, while most mid-brow and lower-brow or low-info, lower-awareness audiences will not fully understand, or appreciate in full, and which may even be missed entirely.


Covid themes in the Uhlfelder campaign video

Uhlfelder and his team must have felt the way the wind was blowing by early 2022 when they storyboarded the video. They avoid making any particular point of defending the Lockdownism and Covid-activism or Panic-pushing during 2020 and 2021. Daniel Uhlfelder repeatedly filed lawsuits demanding full shut downs of state beaches to fight Covid, and worked the media to get himself majorly signal-boosted, enough to become a social media heavy hitter. It was never limited to the “DeathSantis” costume gimmick.

They do mention Daniel Uhlfelder’s support for the tenets of the Corona-faith several times, it’s true. But we sense in his tone a little defensiveness when he lists his Covid-activism as one his accomplishments, towards the end of the video (1:33), with these words:

“And, yes, when I was watching thousands of our neighbors *dying* from this *deadly* pandemic, I put on a costume to encourage people to stay home. Because when people are being oppressed, or left out, or made to feel like their lives don’t matter, it’s not in my DNA to let it slide…”

Besides this reference, he doesn’t say much directly about the Corona-Panic itself in the entire 2m40s run-time, or what his position was, exactly, on it. He leaves it vague on specifics but moralistic in tone (a good epitaph for the Panic itself). All we know for sure is that he stands there on the moral high ground, being against “thousands of our neighbors dying,” being for saving lives. being against “thousands of our neighbors dying” was really to be against callous disregard for life coming from Governor DeathSantis who, the video implied, believed Covid victims’ lives “didn’t matter.” A low-info, Panic-prone person or Corona-softliner may well walk away thinking DeSantis recklessly killed people. Enough of this hypnotic talk and some will believe it, and will not be reeled back in by the facts, including that Florida’s age-adjusted death rate was no different from other comparable places. This is how the Panic worked, basically. At some level it relied on people willing to lie or distort, and Daniel Uhlfelder was one of them.

This video’s early March 2022 production is another signpost for us on the history of the Corona-Panic. We will recall that the Panic was in visible retreat most everywhere in the West by early March 2022. Is many mandates, anyway, were being pulled back. The drumbeat was fading. The irrationalities were resolving themselves. The distortions of all else that it touched would remain, but the direct signs of the Panic and the power of the pro-Panic regimes were falling away. To take two representative examples: on March 5, about three days before Uhfelder released his campaign video, the reliably Pro-Panic government of the city of Boston finally revoked its indoor mask mandate. Soon thereafter, on the same day as Uhlfelder released his campaign video, March 8, even Hawaii announced its indoor mask mandate would end by the end of March. The retreat had begun weeks earlier, and it was undeniable and unavoidable by early-mid March 2022.

But the apparent retreat of Panic forces in early 2022 was a little deceiving. For all their bluster, froth, and histrionics, the Panic-backers and Panic-loyalists were, in any case and in retrospect, overstretched in winter 2021-22. They had lost a lot of the moral fervor that the initial Panic had given them in 2020, and which had empowered a class of ambitious “moral entrepreneur” new men, like Daniel Uhlfelder. Donning the DeathSantis costume and getting steady favorable coverage in 2020, his venture into moral entrepreneurship paid off and was now a major player.

The Panic forces were acting irrationally in early 2022, or moreso than usual, because they were dug in too deep along a general line of defense they could not hold if Anti-Panickers pressed the offensive. That kind of counter-offensive by forces opposed to the Panic, forces seeking to meet the Panic head on and crush it, was beginning to happen, in a big way, in early 2022. It differed by country and region, but in general terms an Anti-Panic mass movement was finally organized and on the march for more than skirmishes or nuisance-actions against the forces of the Panic. The Defeat the Mandates rally in Washington (Jan. 23, 2022) came in this context, and the Freedom Convoy movement in Canada, which exploded soon after the Washington rally, came directly before Uhlfelder officially launched his campaign.

We may recall the demands being made in winter 2021-22, still disturbingly frequently and aggressively, to punish non-compliers, dissidents, skeptics, non-maskers, “unvaccinated,” and all other kinds of Anti-Panicker. This including heavy fines, firings, and social-ostracism enforced by “Covid app.” Anything to fend off the perfidious Covid-Denying Anti-Vaxxer threat. A threat to public order, to morality, to God! (Or to the new god, the Corona-Moloch, a jealous god demanding of sacrifices). It’s nothing to look back on with anything but embarrassment, or shame. People like Daniel Uhlfelder created and sustained this and gave it legitimacy.

If the big question is: How could a CoronaPanic-like event not just “break out,” but sustain itself so long? How could the Panic always find more wind for its sails, up to two years’ worth, against all good sense and decency and centuries of Western tradition? That is where Daniel Uhlfelder 2020-21 comes in, and this is where his campaign video from early March 2022. The video gives us a piece of evidence on how the Panickers and Panic-promoters of 2020 sought to consolidate their gains, recognizing they could not continue with a 2020-style Panic in 2022.

Here we have Daniel Uhlfelder in early March 2022, following the humiliation of the extreme Pro-Panic regime in Canada owing to the unexpected takeoff and success of the Freedom Convoy movement, a being tantamount to an Anti-Panic insurgent movement. The Freedom Convoy movement as Anti-Panic movement grew from insurgent movement that started coming together in late January 2022, to a near-peer competitor with the Panic-loyal forces themselves by some point in February 2022 in social influence. Following other forms of pressure from an energized Anti-Panic side all over the map, the Corona-Panic began its retreat all around, and the aggressive and bellicose talk and demonization of dissidents, skeptics, anti-lockdowners, and other opponents of the Panic began to recede.

The Panic’s leadership, both high command and field headquarters staffs, on almost all fronts in the Western world, came around and sounded he bugle of retreat. Sometimes reluctantly, the general retreat held. The idea was to preserve Pro-Panic forces, and keep the standards aloft and retain great prestige of their arms from the major victories the Panic had won since early 2020, and keep ready for future actions against the Anti-Panickers. The hope: ceding a large portion of the field in an organized way would cause the worrying sight of these waves of Anti-Panic volunteers who had flocked to the colors and stood ready to do battle, to get these people to wander back to their homes and not press the fight alongside hardline, veteran Anti-Panickers. The corollary to this was, an orderly retreat would also keep the less ideologically committed within their own (Pro-Panic side) ranks from surrender or defection.

Even the most impetuous of Pro-Panic field commanders, those most desirous of taking the fight to Anti-Panickers, maybe wanting to smack around a few exposed positions of Anti-Panickers to show the latter they’re outgunned, they all were compelled to come around. The logic was good enough, from their perspective: ceding major ground which they could no longer defend would avert a potential risky confrontation or Clausewitzian Vernichtungsschlacht. Only a fool unnecessarily gambles on a decisive battle which his side is not guaranteed to win.

This all played itself out in the first quarter of 2022, varying only in the details by place, with still some fearsome fighting power still at the front even in February in many places but little of it left by the end of March, given the general retreat.

One of the Panic leaders making such calculations as these, and acting in coordination with other Pro-Panic forces, was Daniel Uhlfelder. He was always an auxiliary commander and not a “main battle line” general in the war, but all the same he was very effective for the Pro-Panic side. His reputation had been made during the fighting of 2020. By winter 2021-22, when the forces of the Panic still looked strong, he began plotting his entry into electoral politics. By the time the strategic retreat came in late winter, and held in early spring 2022, Uhfelder had to readjust a little, but seems to have done so just fine, and this video as a primary source of that moment shows it.

Alas, the Panic was never defeated or never as fully defeated as it should have been. Key aspects of the Panic, and its first-order effects, have remained with us as of mid-2022. And this is to say nothing of its second-order and third-order effects which will last many years yet. Besides the remaining restrictions, socially-culturally-economically distortionary follow-on effects, left over from the Corona-Panic proper, continue to haunt us. In the Uhlfelder political-campaign video of 2022 I sense an entrenchment of this public-health paranoia, as a Panic layer of our political and cultural life. This represents a serious reversal, a partial reversion to a worldview based in superstition and on religious edicts, in which major powers are vested in a priestly class that makes decisions, a power structure that ignores or bans dissenting views as heretical, and that hands down the approved package of life and thought to a passive, compliant “Trust the Priestly Science” digitally-plugged-in populace. All this is un-characteristic of the (Northwest-)European tradition which made us great. Observing it has been disturbing. The Corona-Panic as social revolution?

At the very end of the Uhlfelder campaign video, Mr. Uhlfelder tosses in this: “We’ve all been through a lot in the past few years, but there’s too much at stake to stay on the sidelines now.” But it was Uhlfelder and the other Panic-pushers who helped create and entrench the Panic and kept it up when it might have faded. It was Uhlfelder and others who consciously decided to embrace the Panic, profess faith in it, propagandize for it, and make it into their cause, when a reasonable or dispassionate assessment of evidence should have led in the opposite direction. Here is sounding magnanimous, offering a way to recovery for a problem he created! It’s a subtle form of the strategy of tearing down a man psychologically and then, once he is torn down, of building him back up but on your terms. (A well-practiced strategy used by religious cults.) The video was released in early March 2022, which was (then-) recently still under the heavy influence of the Corona-Panic. Even though it was on the retreat, this kind of “we’ve been through a lot” appeal will have packed more punch at the time.

I close this section with a reflection that if Daniel Uhlfelder wins, it will be a victory for the Corona-Panic. A (harmful) lesson that “it pays to panic” or embrace panics and hysterias. This seems inevitable given that the Panic launched Uhlfelder’s in-earnest political career, his continuing use of his Covid-activism as a supposed positive good, and his refusal to admit he was wrong. I would be willing to consider changing this view that an Uhlfelder victory is a victory for the Corona-Panic as such only if he comes out denouncing the Panic and saying he was wrong, which is about as likely as his name appearing on the “DeSantis for President” campaign staff.


Non-Covid themes in the Uhlfelder campaign video

Back to the video, and (mostly) away from the Covid topic and into the ethnopolitics and double-talk and dog-whistling going on here.

The team which Uhlfelder hired to produce this video do a sleek job depicting him as a righteously outraged “average attorney and family man” (as he introduces himself). He doesn’t mention that both his father and grandfather were politics players in Florida, his father one of the most influential and powerful lobbyists in Florida between the 1980s and 2010s. (See “On Daniel Uhlfelder, Corona-activist and Panic-pusher; an exploration into ‘why’ some embraced the Panic.”)

The version of Daniel Uhlfelder as shown in the campaign video is only partly a man inspired to action by reckless Ron “DeathSantis” and his policy of open disrespect for the Corona-Moloch by refusing lockdowns and all. This is only a small part of a man who has always been a fighter for the little guy against political ogres and bullies who look like Trump and DeSantis. (He actually does say “look like,” an interesting choice of words.)

We unambiguously get to the hear of it soon out of the gate, when the Corona-demagogue narrates from his couch that “the Uhlfelders fought hard to get to this country.” Footage of Hitler at a rally flashes on screen, and Uhlfelder and says:

“The Nazis tore my family apart. My great-grandparents were killed in the concentration camps. Growing up, my parents never let me forget it. They immersed us in social justice and introduced us to politicians who actually *stood up* for what was right. So, I guess, activism is kind of ‘in my blood’.”

Daniel Uhlfelder is Jewish. He doesn’t exactly make it a secret (and I have a lot on Daniel Uhlfelder’s ancestors back several generations at the previous Uhlfelder post). But the wording and “framing” are interesting. For one thing, nowhere does he directly say that he is Jewish. Every American on the right-third of the ‘awareness’ bell curve will sense it immediately; most in the middle third of that ‘awareness’ bell curve will at least suspect it; fewer in the left third of the bell curve will notice or grasp it, since the wording and imagery is ambiguous and you need firm background information to connect the dots. This is an a strategy worth looking at and considering in terms of what it means for U.S. politics.

The Nazi Villainy narrative remains well established in the 2020s, even if now it is a century past and out of living memory. Daniel Uhlfelder establishes his ethnopolitical bonafides as a third- or fourth-generation victim of the European Villains. This is all he mentions about his family or ancestors, that two were in concentration camps in Europe. It’s really a strange thing to declare, when you think about it, especially in that it goes back to his great-grandparent generation and skips over his father and grandfather.

There are some important lines in the campaign video on Uhlfelder’s Jewish identity which are not about the 1930s-1940s period at all but are evergreen. In the careful wording he uses when dropping in these references, we see a deliberate double-track appeal, a form of esoteric messaging. There are two broad classes of intended audience: those who understand exactly what he is saying “between the lines,” and those who don’t. He is speaking to Jews directly, and making an appeal to them, but with wording just ambiguous enough that most non-Jews will miss it or not fully get it.

There are at least eight examples of this in the video of (sometimes-)veiled appeals, dog-whistles, or shibboleths used to appeal to fellow Jews and get their support to back his campaign:

(1) the line about how his ancestors “fought hard” to get to America,

(2) the reference to concentration camps,

(3) the flashing on screen of scenes of Hitler,

(4) the line that activism is “in my blood,”

(5) the mention that his parents trained him to respect leaders who strove for social justice, while putting on screen faces of Jewish politicians he met,

(6) the late-video references to fighting to take down the Confederate flag,

(7) the late-video references the Alt-Right and people being beaten,

(8) the closing line that it is “not in my DNA to let things slide,” a strange wording I don’t think at all usual for politicians to use except in exactly this kind of case.

(Update: See a summary of Florida’s ethnopolitical groups, and their importance towards state politics, in the comment-section, to help understand why he would be making such appeals to fellow Jews at this stage in his campaign.)

Some of the things in the above eight-point list in isolation could be interpreted differently, but taken together and with the intended audience in mind, another effect is produced. Together with the lead-in content about Jewish identity and how hard his ancestors had to fight to get into America (implied: the anti-Semitic, immigration-restrictionist USA in the 1930s), how his family were (he claims) running from genocidal White-Christian Holocausters in Europe, this amounts to a statement of ethnopolitical loyalty, done in a dog whistle or esoteric style, group-insiders understanding the intended message.

Here is Uhlfelder narrating on the Confederate flag:

“I want what’s best for [my kids], and their friends, and our neighbors. So, when the Confederate flag was coming down at courthouses across the country but ours stayed up, I organized to *take it down*.”

The “so” here does not follow. It is a verbal trick, but its real function is as one of the appeal to ethnopolitical groups not including White-Christians. “So” is a connector that connects two obviously related ideas, as if he were talking about something fully self-evident and not a ‘partisan’ position. The trick works on some people straight away, if not much thought is put in (Oh, he was defending his children and their friends, that’s good).

The veiled message with this Confederate flag commentary is that Uhlfelder opposes any form of White-Christian ethnonationalism, and supports disempowerment thereof. He supports the strategy of trashing any symbols of White-Christian America which can be trashed or discarded with impunity, as part of a strategy to weaken potentially dangerous host-population ethnonationalism. Furthermore, and importantly for the “between the lines” reading, his wording on the Confederate flag issue signals that it is (was) not a position which he has to much think about, rather being something he does (did) without needing a second thought. Something on principle. This nonverbalized message is, I think, achieved through the smooth use of the transitional word “so”—as if the second idea (tearing down all Confederate symbols) obviously follows the first (desire to defend his children and “their friends”)—in combination with rest of the tone of the video.

He then promotes his political-activism career by saying he protested when “bureaucrats” moved to “privatize” beaches. It’s another vague statement. I wonder the specifics on it. I expect we might find it something like the Corona-Panic (moral signaling over facts). But also we run into the demographic problem here. Some parts of Florida have been in national news in recent years for major violence associated with beaches. The beach is a general appeal of Florida. Some communities want to keep some beaches private to avoid the problem and are willing to pay for the privilege. This is a loss of “the commons” but is inevitable in a society with substantial Third World elements. Anecdotally, it is said that public beaches in some parts of Florida are unsuitable for middle-class White families.

Uhlfelder revisits his “it’s in my blood” theme towards the end of the video (1:43):

“When people are being oppressed, or left out, or made to feel like their lives don’t matter, it’s not in my DNA to let it slide. There’s a lot of bullying going on right now. And what do you expect, when these are the faces of Florida’s leaders? I might not be a politician, but I’m one tough lawyer. And that’s why I’m running for attorney general of Florida.”

Soon after Uhlfelder says the words “It’s not in my DNA to let it slide,” we see flashed on the screen scenes of about eight people apparently in ‘Nazi’ costumes, one carrying a Swastika flag. They are standing in a field, with a U.S.-style Starbucks visible in the rear. This is an unmistakable dog-whistle to the smaller “between the lines” audience for this video of fellow Jewish Democrats in Florida, and some excitable non-Jews that have told themselves there is a fascist takeover threat–but mostly to Jews. This kind of appeal and imagery would be too clownish in an environment without Jews as a major force in politics.

Actually, these U.S. political ads bashing White-ethnonationalists have now become a staple of (what passes for) the political discourse. In a more innocent age, some gave the George H. W. Bush campaign team a hard time over the famous “Willy Horton” ad in 1988 (featuring a Black felon released early who killed again). In our time, it is now totally unsurprising, and even almost the norm, for the Left to use thinly veiled anti-White imagery and allege White Heterosexual Males as the dangerous internal enemy, all in the open and by mainstream, respectable politicians. One of the most notorious of this type was this one from Virginia in 2017, a commercial which didn’t even mention the Democratic candidate Ralph Northam and hardly even mentioned the Republican opponent Ed Gillespie, focusing rather entirely on hammering home a message of Eternal White-Christian-Male Villainy:

The Daniel Uhlfelder ad is not so ham-fisted as that notorious 2017-Virginia ad showing a White racist chasing down nonwhite children in a pickup truck, but it has a portion in the same tradition.

Returning to the Uhlfelder ad: after the Swastika people we get unidentified footage of two men kicking someone between two cars. What is this? It could just be typical “road rage.” It’s not clear. But when juxtaposed with the Swastika-flag guys and Uhlfeleder’s narration, it makes it seem it’s probably right-wing thugs beating up Jews, Gays, or etc. And that’s the point.

Then it’s this, Uhlfelder narrating: “But what do you expect, when THESE are the faces of Florida’s leaders?” On screen we see (Governor) Ron DeSantis, (Attorney General) Ashley Moody, and (Congressman) Matt Gaetz.

I find interesting this use of the word “faces” in this way. The ad proceeds to put up three White faces, associating them by implication with thugs who beat up immigrants, LGBTQs, and Jews.

Speaking of reading between lines, “double talk,” and the “my DNA” line, Dieter Kief says this:

“It would be no exaggeration to write a long and winding essay about Daniel Uhlfelder’s “my DNA” remark. If I did (I will not) I’d start with the thesis that it is astonishing that Uhlfelder let this sentence slip out. It’s double talk, of course (that rhetorical strategy supplies the protection here). I’d go on then and try to explain that one half of the double-talk is nonetheless utterly confessional and – somehow pure and naked – – – all defenses down…”

On the topic of the Corona-Panic, so many of us have asked “why,” “how,” and so on. The general idea is that something big has changed in our society, and a Corona-Panic could not have happened x years ago. I believe the same applies to some of the non-Corona rhetoric from the Daniel Uhlfelder campaign. I believe that previous iterations of Daniel Uhlfelder, some decades ago, would not have said lines about something being “in my DNA” or activism being “in my blood.” Not in a public political context. There is a hint of triumphalism about it, in the dog-whistled meaning. But you have to know to look for it and I still believe there are multiple audiences intended, some will understand it and some not. Those who do realize and are bothered by it are still not going to call him out on it, for fear of that ethnoreligious group’s power in Florida politics.

This part of Uhlfelder’s campaign video was a segue out of his defense of his embrace of the Corona-Panic and his activism on behalf of keeping up the Panic, lockdowns, and mandates in 2020 and 2021. That segue was interesting because it even suggests his Panic-pushing was done out of ethnopolitical loyalty, or any mistakes can be forgiven because of the bigger threat of the DeSantis fascists and DeSantis votes who fly Swastika flags and beat up immigrants, LGBTQs, and Jews.

The segue also might just overshoot. It quickly transitions into something that resembles the Joe Biden campaign’s infamous campaign-launch video of April 2019, titled (groaningly, laughably) “America is an Idea”:

Joe Biden dubiously claimed that he was motivated to run for president in 2019 solely because of a protest event to keep the General Lee statue in a town park in Charlottesville, Virginia, in August 2017. That protest turned out about 1500 supporters of the “Alt-Right,” the White-Christian-ethnonationalist movement of the moment, and other Keep the Lee Statue backers. Public opinion polling up to that time all showed majorities favored keeping the statues, but since then “we” have been on a maoist Red Guard-like campaign to topple all such statues where local reactionaries do not prevent it, and this maoist-like movement sped up into a surrealistic overdrive in mid-2020 after the worst of the Corona-Panic’s early lockdowns. Interesting that Daniel Uhlfelder declared himself a strong partisan of both the Corona-Panic as such and of tearing down Confederate monuments and symbols, the one following the other in 2020 being a convenient one-two punch on behalf of Daniel Uhlfelder’s per causes. The asterisk here, though, is there were no BLM riots or maoist statue-attacks in 2020 n Florida itself.

There is a key distinction between the Biden and Uhlfelder positions. Biden with this spring 2019 campaign-launch video was tantamount to a declaration of puppetry to other forces. This was not the Biden he had for so long marketed himself to be, a centrist, which is how he got the vice presidential nomination in 2008 and 2012 under Barack ‘Hussein’ Obama. With Uhlfelder, we get a more morally consistent position, anyway.

In the Uhlfelder video, we see a shorter version of much the same. Biden was trying to opportunistically shift his position to try to fit a trend of the moment. Uhlfelder was not shifting his position but sort of embracing his heritage (as he himself says openly in his video). Uhlfelder also plays a trump card by staking out a claim to moral superiority by declaring his Jewish identity, which Biden cannot personally do, although Biden has a large number of Jewish grandchildren and (amazingly) all his children has been married to Jewish spouses at some point.

The protest to keep the Lee statue in Charlottesville in 2017 was sabotaged by a sneering set of characters, including: a bad-faith, hostile mayor; a semi-hostile and complaisant-to-power local police bureaucracy; and a ‘Get Trump’ party-hack governor. All “deep-blue” people. The Charlottesville mayor as of 2017, Michael Signer, is himself a version of Daniel Uhlfelder: wealthy, well-connected, left-wing vies attendant and de rigueur for their ethnopolitical class, elite educated, but operating on the frontiers of ‘blue’ political power in areas traditionally ‘red’ (Signer in central Virginia, Uhlfelder in Tallahassee), and both sharing a religious heritage. Signer and Uhlfelder might not be well known names but they are firm members of the broad U.S. neo-elite, one which has, so famously, renounced the ancient principle of noblesse oblige and now runs a regime of permanent hostility against the nation’s historic ethnocultural core.

To wrap up with the political analysis of the video, it is notable that only in the last thirty seconds of content in the 2m40s video 2:00 to 2:30 mark), Uhlfelder finally makes some traditional appeals for why people should vote for him and not the Republican Ashley Moody. He says Ashley Moody is too politically close to Ron DeSantis, being akin to his “personal attorney.”

This framing hints at how Ashley Moody stayed on the Anti-Panic side, alongside Governor DeSantis, firmly if quietly and without fanfare or controversy (and thus no media attention). Through all the slings and arrows, attacks at Florida’s “experiment” in rejecting the Panic, and war-like propaganda campaign against Florida for having such a government, she never broke ranks.

Think what great rewards the powerful Pro-Panic forces would have doled out to Ashley Moody if she had made every effort (or any effort) to legally undermine Anti-Panic policies (the state being against lockdowns, closures, disruptions, remote schooling, masks, mandates, and forced experimental-injections marketed as vaccines)…

Daniel Uhlfelder finishes his pitch by saying he is for “voting rights, consumer rights, fundamental human rights.” He does that thing an old East-European proverb once called crying out in pain as he strikes you, alleging Ashley Moody is simply “there to push a harmful political agenda, just to advance her own political career.” Isn’t this a fair reading of the fruits of Uhlfelder’s own Corona-Panic activism?

“There’s too much at stake to stay on the sidelines now. And I’m just getting started…” And with that, the campaign video closes. Daniel Uhlfelder is not going away. He now has a political career ahead. Why did he push the Corona-Panic, indeed!




Part II.
The election 2022 rivals for Florida attorney general


The general election opponent: Ashley Moody

There are two elections upcoming in 2022 for Daniel Uhlfelder. The first is the Democratic primary (late August 2022), the second is the general election (Nov. 2022).

The incumbent attorney general is Ashley Moody (b.1975), a White-Protestant of multi-generational Florida origin. The Daniel Uhlfelder campaign video depicts Ashley Moody as an attack-dog for the sinister DeSantis, the latter looking on as people die (and as desperate people in the back all wear masks while he scowls maskless), with Ashley Moody his enabler:

That view of Ashley Moody and Ron DeSantis is demagogic in the worst tradition, something like a blood-libel, but done with lawyerly skill.

I’ve mentioned already that Ashley Moody was a firm and unwavering Anti-Panicker, and in that sense, at least, she was a DeSantis loyalist. She could gotten her thirty pieces of silver if she had “flipped” on DeSantis during the height of the Corona-Panic, but she never came even close, and so for all the tempestuous, angry criticism of Florida in Pro-Panic media in 2020 and 2021, her name almost didn’t come up at all.

Who is Ashley Moody? She is a multi-generational Florida jurist, in that her grandfather (James Moody Sr. [1915-2001] and father James Moody Jr. [1947-]) were both also judges in Florida. The family has a Presbyterian affiliation. They share their family-name and church affiliation with a famous 19th-century evangelist whose name is still recognizable today, especially in Chicago, where the Moody Bible Institute is still headquartered.

And this Moody family is an unusually-long-established one in Florida. Ashley Moody’s b.1915 grandfather was born and raised on the Florida Gulf Coast. A Jacksonville newspaper has said Ashley Moody herself is a fifth-generation Floridian, which puts her first-arriving ancestor back around the Civil War era, when Florida was very sparsely populated, being a “frontier” of its own. Given how much Florida is “migration” state, these aspects of family tradition and continuity itself are a clue as to who Ashley Moody is and her thinking and worldview.

(Ron DeSantis’s parents only showed up in the 1970s from a then-starting-to-decline industrial Ohio town; see: “The Ancestry of Ron DeSantis,” original research here at Hail To You from 2021. As for the Uhlfelder ancestor, he came onto the Florida scene in the 1930s, soon after arriving from Europe and bouncing around with a few offers to work in department stores apparently run by distant relatives.)

Ashley Moody graduated from Plant City High School on the mid Gulf Coast of Florida, and in her youth won a beauty pageant, being crowned “Strawberry Festival Queen” some time in the 1990s. She was ambitious enough to enter a race for circuit judge for the Tampa area in 2006. Elected, then only age 31, she was the youngest judge in Florida at the time. It was an unusual accomplishment, and one of many cases in which talent, ambition, and good connections mix to form a coherent whole, each component necessary to make the whole.

Her early legal career directly put Ashley Moody directly on the path to her current role as state attorney general, to which she was elected in 2018. She did well in that race, able to win comfortably in 2018 (52%-46%), whereas Ron DeSantis , now so popular and iconic, himself only narrowly beat Andrew Gillum (50%-49%). Gillum was a Black Democrat and later revealed to be hard-drug-addict and homosexual-prostitute-consorter, today living in shame and obscurity while juggling multiple legal headaches after at least one male-prostitute consort turned up dead.

Sometime during her first judgeship, Ashley Moody married Justin Duralia, who is, by varying accounts, either a U.S. Army officer, an agent of the Drug Enforcement Agency, and/or (according to Ashley Moody) a “travel baseball dad,” depending on the time of year and day of the week. Their son, born about 2010, is a serious Little League baseball player, from the sounds of it. Here they are:

As a side-note: Given that Ashley Moody is a conservative, or has all the hallmarks of being such, is it not a little curious, or notable, that she didn’t change her surname to her husband’s, upon marriage in the late 2000s? One of the Democrat contenders, Aramis Ayala, a left-wing BLM supporter born the same year as Ashley Moody (and on whom more shortly), did change her surname upon marriage. In the case of Ashley Moody, we might say the non-change was because: (1.) her birth-surname was so well known in Florida legal circles, (2.) she was a career-woman, and (3.) she had already been elected a judge under her birth-surname, Moody. If she had married before her public career began, maybe she’d have changed her name.

Ron DeSantis is the 95%-favorite to be reelected governor in November 2022, and also now the favorite to be the Republican nominee for president in 2024, partly on the strength of his principled stand during the Corona-Panic, when he displayed rare moral courage and defied the powerful forces of the Panic itself and the mob mentality and the potential political risks he opened himself up to by opposing the Panic at its height. He deserves his current prestige.

DeSantis’ popularity will likely ensure Ashley Moody’s reelection in 2022. In any case, Daniel Uhlfelder’s real target, for now, in this entry of his into electoral politics, is “Ron DeSantis 2024” and not really “Ashley Moody 2022.”

The Democratic primary opponents for Florida Attorney General, 2022

The Corona-demagogue and Panic-pusher Daniel Uhlfelder, who claims left-wing activism is “in his blood,” faces two other opponents before he can face Ashley Moody directly, or before he can turn whatever political guns he can assemble and aim them at the DeSantis machine. He’ll be able to blast away for several months before election day, and he will probably get media support.

The Democratic primary election is in late August 2022. After Uhlfelder wins that, he’ll be able to focus on blasting away full time at Ron DeSantis for 2.5 months or so until election day.

The two Democratic primary opponents are: Aramis Ayala and Jim Lewis. I turn now to them, and especially Aramis Ayala offers an interesting contrast with Daniel Uhlfelder, two important components of the Democratic Party / political Left coalition in our time..



Daniel Uhlfelder’s principal Democratic rival is Aramis Ayala (b.1975). She is of Black-U.S. origin, from Michigan. She has substantial White ancestry, as her father is of the lighter-complexion of Blacks, in many places he would be considered a distinct group (as the old term Mulatto). Aramis Ayala’s birth surname is apparently Donnell; the name Ayala surname comes from her marriage to David Ayala, of Black-Caribbean origin (and on whom, more shortly).

Aramis Ayala graduated in 1993 from Bridgeport High School near Saginaw, Michigan. This high school appears to have been racially mixed in her time, with a White majority and large Black minority. At some point in coming years, after she left, the area went through a transition and “tipped” to become super-majority Black. By the 2010s, the school stood at 71% Black, 13% White, 10% Hispanic, a process that happened on much larger scale and even more extreme downstate in Detroit a generation earlier. In Aramis Ayala’s time there as a student at Bridgeport, the high school made the news (Associated Press wire) for reports of large-scale fights between White and Black students, in response to which the school in 1991 hired a “race-relations expert,” Peter Gluck, to solve the problem. Thirty years later, it’s clear this race-relations expert didn’t solve the problem, unless transitioning to supermajority Black is a solution. In her adult life, Aramis Ayala moved to Florida, where she has long practiced law.

While there is a lot negative one could say about Aramis Ayala, we should give her the benefit of the doubt and say she is probably not, herself, addicted to any illegal substances, nor do we have any info suggesting she partakes in drug-fueled sordid activities in hotel rooms with anonymous partners, as with the lifestyle of the disgraced Andrew Gillum (DeSantis’ 2018 opponent for governor).

This is the kind of political personality Aramis Ayala is:

She declared “Black America’s relationship with police is a textbook case of domestic abuse” in an opinion column published by BET.com in 2020. In some ways that is all you need to know about what kind of political space she operates in, but there’s more to this character worth a mention.

I mentioned above that Ashley Moody, the current attorney general, didn’t change her surname at marriage where Aramis Ayala did. Aramis is married David Ayala, of Black-Spanish-Caribbean origin. David Ayala also happens to be a convicted felon. As she was formerly a defense attorney, in the 2000s, I can only speculate on the likelihood that Aramis met David through that world, maybe indirectly (i.e., not necessarily that she was his attorney). I now have to wonder if she took the Ayala surname to potentially help her own political career, for it would appeal to the substantial Spanish-speaking population in Florida, while still able also to mobilize the U.S.-Black vote for her. Coalition building. (Is it too ynical to think ambitious b.1970s U.S. women were making the decision to change their names or not for essentially strategic-political reasons?)

Husband David Ayala caused a considerable embarrassment or scandal for his wife when it was revealed he (the husband, David Ayala) had repeatedly illegally voted in U.S. elections. His felon convictions meant he forfeited his right to vote under Florida law unless and until it was reinstated by personal act of the governor. He registered and repeatedly voted anyway, which is a crime.

This all came out as a result of the Trump people’s puzzling initiative to automatically reinstate voting rights for convicted felons in 2018, a Kushner initiative. They got this very same David Ayala on camera and paraded him around on tv, He was the wife of a state prosecutor (Aramis Ayala) at the time. He celebrated his liberation for the cameras, on live tv. He said: “I feel free! Like a full citizen!” Not long thereafter, in March 2019, it came out he had illegally voted repeatedly for years.



The second Democratic primary rival to Daniel Uhlfelder is Jim Lewis, a minor candidate without a campaign-apparatus or funds. He will not win.

Jim Lewis is a White male, born circa 1957, a native of Orlando, and a practicing defense attorney well known in South Florida. He has a homemade-feeling website. It centers around the slogan: “Don’t Trump my Florida!” He was previously a marijuana-legalization activist.


The “BLM, anti-Rule of Law, racial-grievance, and Decline” candidate (Ayala) vs. the “smooth-talking Corona-Panic-pusher” (Uhlfelder)

In July 2022, interest in the Florida attorney general race started really getting traction. It is a position with considerable power and influence, an important lieutenant of the governor and the state executive branch, a position which helps set the tone of everything in the state.

A highly informed and resourceful reader and commenter, Adam Smith, noticed the Uhlfelder campaign was underway and mentioned it in a comment at Peak Stupidity in July 2022. That is how I became aware the “Grim Reaper” Corona-demagogue whom I had profiled last year had torn off the mask (so to speak) and gone for it: political office. Shortly after Adam Smith’s comment, the Florida media began to take close interest and cover the race, the candidates, and their differences.

The Orlando Sentinel published an overview of the race for attorney general, which referred to Uhlfelder according to his Covid-activism character: “Election 2022: Grim Reaper, Ayala among Democrats running for Florida attorney general” (Orlando Sentinel, July 22, 2022).

While the Orlando Sentinel makes note of Daniel Uhlfelder’s tireless Covid activism, the more interesting information in this expose was on Aramis Ayala, Uhlfelder’s main Democratic primary opponent:

Aramis Ayala is best known, or most notorious in Florida politics, for publicly and stridently refusing to ever seek the death penalty in any circumstances. It’s a controversy of which state politics followers in Florida are well aware. They recognize the name Aramis Ayala for that refusal to seek the death penalty. This was during her tenure as chief prosecutor for one of the districts of Florida, in the Orlando area. She refused to ever bring a death penalty case, even when existing law called for the death penalty. It is symbolic of a general soft-on-crime variant of “Defund the Police”-ism. It drew criticism for that reason.

In a legal sense, Aramis Ayala’s refusal to seek the death penalty may be tantamount to personal “nullification” of a law she opposes. It’s curious that her refusal to ever pursue the death penalty while in office in the late 2010s brought so much controversy. That seems a survival of principled, rule-of-law Americana (and our NW-European tradition). One woman was appearing to sabotage the legal process under Florida law. This kind of thing could easily spread and the system would break down. Laws would lose their meanings. The state would become one of men (women), not of laws. As a servant of the state, Aramis Ayala was supposed to carry out the law as written, not do whatever she wants, whatever her conscience dictates; rather, carrying out the laws of the state effectively and fairly and faithfully, with some flexibility given human imperfections and biases, but never acting like she alone has the power to nullify laws.

We can put it like this: the State, in the political-science sense, is an entity unto itself. It is not a collection of individuals “doing whatever” within the bounds of some set of constantly evolving or flexible norms which sometimes seem to have race-to-the-bottom characteristics. (See, e.g., the Baltimore mayor, about a year ago, who said there should not be prosecutions of people shooting at each other if they were engaged in “mutual combat”).

Some people genuinely don’t understand this principle of the secular-sacredness of the Law; others understand it, but don’t respect it. (It seems, in general, that our core ethnocultural tradition in the USA understands and respects it and that the norm in most in the world is, frankly, to not understand and/or not respect it.)

In other words, a lot of the people who turned against Aramis Ayala do seem to have been motivated by respect for the Law matters in principle, and believe it should not be mocked or disrespected. Overtly imposing one’s own views when they run counter to the law according to the processes of law-making in the state legislature, etc., is either the mark of an unstable or dysfunctional regime (if persistent and widespread), or the case of an individual loose-cannon or rabble-rouser who slips into the system somehow. The Aramis Ayala case seems to sit somewhere between the two. It leans towards being a single “loose cannon” type. But given Florida’s demographics, sustained misgovernment could potentially tip things rapidly towards systematized dysfunction.

(Update, Aug. 4, 2022: Governor Ron DeSantis has fired a left-wing state prosecutor, Andrew Warren, a controversy which has direct ties to the preceding commentary published here August 1, on Aramis Ayala. Andrew Warren is one of the “Soros district attorneys.” Aramis Ayala’s campaign was also funded by the Soros network. See comment-section for more on this.)

After such scandals and bad press and Aramis Ayala’s fall in popularity, the state sued her for breach of duty and she abandoned her own campaign for reelection in 2021. That her immigrant-felon husband was revealed to have had repeatedly illegally voted must not have helped. But then the Corona-Panic and Black Lives Matter moral-panic outbreaks happened, and she believed she could get a second wind.

From the preceding synopsis and discussion, you will probably not be surprised to learn this other highlight of Ms. Ayala’s career:

Aramis Ayala was briefly in the news as a victim of supposed targeted harassment by White police. That during the year she was elected one of Florida’s chief district prosecutors, 2017. She berated the police when they pulled her over for some traffic violation. She publicly accused them of anti-Black racism. Later, she claimed she had begun receiving nooses in the mail from racist tormentors, a way to intimidate her for her criticism of White police racism.

The whole package leaves us with the portrait of Aramis Ayala as the candidate of Black Lives Matter, the candidate of anti-Rule of Law, the candidate of Decline. But at least you know what you get. With Daniel Uhlfelder’s smooth-talking and manipulative Corona-Panic fanaticism and similar political-moralizing, it’s another story altogether.

The other candidate, Jim Lewis, strikes me as the left-libertarian, a lovable-goofball candidate.

The main rival and heavy favorite must be Daniel Uhlfelder. I cannot imagine Uhlfelder loses this primary race. He could only lose if it’s revealed that he was Jeffrey Epstein’s right-hand man all along, or something similarly shocking. I cannot see how Aramis Ayala beats her own bad reputation, or even if her negatives don’t hurt her too much, how she could defeat the politically careful, well-funded, unreconstructed Covid-fanatic Daniel Uhlfelder.

The debate(s)

There will be an Florida Democratic-primary attorney general debate on August 4th, 2022, hosted by “The Puerto Rican Bar Association of Florida and Alianza for Progress.” Although it is sure to get very little attention, if it is the only Democratic primary debate before voting day, it may be a landmark-moment for Daniel Uhlfelder’s political career.

Conclusion: Daniel Uhlfelder will be in the news for the rest of 2022 and probably beyond. He may have a considerably bigger political future than just the Panic-pusher and Corona-demagogue role he embraced in 2020-2021.

This means we were right to give him attention in 2021. We recognized him for what he was. His case helps us understand one part of what the Corona-Panic was, how it formed, how it sustained itself, and one kind of person got involved in pushing it. Far from the end of the story, but better than nothing.

The instant political career by top Covid-demagogue Uhlfelder is another sign of just how much the Corona-Panic is a key to many political developments that have followed. Because these CoronaPanic-like events can and will happen again, it’s worth understanding the characters on the stage, that we may understand how the drama might go.


[Updated: Aug. 3, 2022]



It’s not in my DNA to let it slide.” — Daniel Uhlfelder

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74 Responses to Daniel Uhlfelder, the Covid-demagogue and Panic-pusher, runs for Florida attorney general 2022: his campaign and rivals

  1. Hail says:

    The influential Tampa Bay Times has today endorsed Daniel Uhlfelder over main D-team rival Aramis Ayala. (It is implied that Ayala’s main policy goal is a generalized opposition to—quoting the Tampa Bay Times here—quote, “what she describes as an overly punitive criminal justice system”).

    The wording of the Tampa Bay Times endorsement:

    “Uhlfelder is a fresh, energetic face who would bring a sharp contrast and a viable campaign to the general election.

    His decades of work in the conservative Panhandle give Uhlfelder a balanced life view and the grounding to attract bipartisan support.

    His principled policy differences with Moody would force her to defend her record and vision, and it would remind Floridians of the broad role for this Cabinet office.”

    (No direct mention of Mr. U’s demagogic Covid-activism and Panic-pushing.)

    The Tampa Bay Times in 2018 endorsed for the general election Ashley Moody (R, emerged as DeSantis-ally and Corona Anti-Panicker), and for governor in the general election endorsed Andrew Gillum (D, drug-addict) over DeSantis.

  2. Dieter Kief says:

    So – will Ron DeSantis run for president in 2024? – He said he will not run against Donald Trump.

    Andrew Gillam is one of those US politicians that are so far away from being decent that it’s hard to digest the few infos you mention about him. Chraracters like his ask for – I can’t help that impulse: Novels. Btw. – Tom Wolfe’s Florida novel Back to Blood is the type of novel, that touches this territory. Unfortunately , Tom Wolfe has passed away. The Florida crime novel Treasure Coast by the great late Tom Kakonis elaborates on Andrew Gillam – and a little bit on Daniel Uhlfleder territory too. It’s great also because it highlights the longing for wonders/religion that is constantly in the air, so to speak.
    Treasure Coast tells in lots of interesting details, how that plays out – not least for the rather desperate wife of a well off Florida business man and mobster. Tom Kakonis catches with dream-like precision, how she plays the .r.o.l.e. of a perfectly well suited and – happy! – wife – – and how she reacts to being in existentially dire straits even though (not least, her re-acting (= her reactions), so to speak, show her longing for metaphysical remedies (this novel is great).

    Ron DeSantis and Ashley Moody look like the perfect US counter-narrative couple in lots of ways.
    So – I can end on a bright note: The world is not evil throughout.

    (Thx. again for a very interesting read, Mr. Hail.)

    • Hail says:

      I believe DeSantis is the favorite for the Republican nomination, and I believe he will go for it.

      • I really hope that will be the case, Mr. Hail. I guess this is not the venue for a review of the record of President Trump. I will say that I like the guy on a personal level and think he does care about real Americans. He has some common sense that, were it turned into real stable policy, would have been very good for us.

        However, the guy is a pompous blowhard, has an ego that outweighs his concern for Americans itself, and is very easily distracted. Mr. DeSantis has been a great executive. He understands Federalism. He is a man of principle from most of what I’ve heard of him (incl. your great blog post about his background), while another thing about Trump is that he almost never stands on principle.

        We could use Donald Trump to keep those rallies going. His ego, however, won’t let him play 2nd fiddle of support-man to anybody.

        PS: I want to write more on Florida demographics and political stance vs. the geography of the State, but we gotta go this morning. Thanks, and I’ll read the rest possibly on an airline flight – beats he!! out of the crap on the seat back screens!

    • Hail says:

      They say Back to Blood [2012] works at a subversive level, in the way Bonfire of the Vanities [1987] did. Bonfire was an iconic novel that captured its time and place in the “great novel” tradition and also predicted much of the coming few decades.

      Regardless of Back to Blood‘s merits, the fact that the great journalistic observer and novelist Tom Wolfe would turn his attention circa-2010 to Florida is interesting. I remember in the 2000s hearing many times: “Florida is not a land of opportunity. Florida is not a place for young men. It’s for old, retired people.” That is not today’s image of Florida.

  3. Hail says:


    Florida population, 2022
    – 11 million, White-European-Christians without Latin America ties [50%]
    – 0.7 million, Jews [3%] (or now 0.9m, implied by a 2020 Brandeis study)
    – 2 million+, (right-wing) White / Near-White Hispanics, esp. Cuban [9%+]
    – 2.5 million, Mestizo Central American (etc.) Hispanics [11%]
    – 1.3 million+, Black Caribbean origin, incl. Haitians [6%]
    – 2.7 million, Black U.S. origin [12%]
    – 0.8 million Asians, all types [4%]
    – 1 million, not otherwise classified [5%]

    The political coalition that holds a narrow but stable majority in Florida is this:
    “White-Christians” + “right-wing White- and Near-White Hispanics.”

    (On the “right-wing White/Near-White Hispanics,” Cubans being a core of this type in Florida: (1.) The surprise hit 2020 political song “Yo Voy a Votar, por Donal Tron” [I’m Going to Vote, for Donald Trump] shows this type of Florida ethnopolitical layer in action. // (2.) Recalling the Trump era, it helps that Trump himself was the closest you’ll ever see a White-Protestant get to the “caudillo” model of politician or statesman. // (3.) This short video from 2020, of an angry right-wing White-Hispanic protestor, also captures something of the type. You won’t often see “Republican-leaner” Mexicans in Texas, Arizona, California do this, nor much of any kind of Central American mestizo. This man told Spanish-language TV news, live on the air: “Esta [elección] es un fraude. Y a todos los comunistas de los Estados Unidos: Lo único que les prometo es — ¡Plomo y sangre! Este país jamás y nunca va a ser comunista. ¡Primero muerto!“)

    There is a “multiplier” to be applied to these categories for purposes of political influence, making their relevant “political numbers” different from “resident numbers.” This is because of a wide set of things including: differing rates of citizenship (including, of course, the ability to [legally] vote), English ability, rootedness and attachment, civic-mindedness, degree of cultural politicization, average education level, average age, income and wealth levels, and (among other factors) formerly the “% of the population that has a felony conviction” and therefore was stripped of the right to vote, until the Kushner initiative reinstated felons’ voting rights in the late 2010s.

    The longer-settled, less transient, traditionally American, and higher-socioeconomic-status elements are more politically influential and active than their resident-%, of course. Make an exception for the right-wing Cubans etc if you want, being a highly politically active (and right-wing).

    The “broad political class” includes a lot more Jews than their 3% population level may suggest. Jews are traditionally Democrats (see, e.g., former top-ranking Democrat party chair [2011-2016] Ms. Wasserman-Schulz, also of Florida). Adjusting for the factors mentioned above, it’s plausible that they could be one-quarter to one-third of the Democratic broad core “political class” in Florida, those most plugged in, the funders/donors, activists, leaders; not voters, but assuredly they will also be a lot more than 3% of voters, especially in low-turnout primaries.

    This supplement I realized today helps make sense of the Florida political scene and some things I mention or point out or think about regarding Daniel Uhlfelder’s campaign. Also generally relevant to the upcoming reelection as governor (Nov. 2022) and then presidential campaign (2023-2024) by Ron DeSantis.

  4. I’m in the middle of Part 1 (the ad) of this post right now, Mr. Hail. I am so glad to have checked your site this morning – it’s been a couple of days – and to see some great reading here for me.

    This is something I’d commented about regarding this ad last time you mentioned it, either in your comments or those on my blog (obviously in conversation with you, as I wouldn’t have known about this AG election otherwise): This ad illustrates very well the way the BIG LIES are being told now in modern America.

    See, if you went back to 1985 or so, the lies out of the left (of the time) may have been omission or distortion of tacts, cover-ups etc. However, I just don’t recall the complete reversal of the big picture of what’s truth as I have seen in the more recent lies of the left. They don’t just deny, leave out important details and all that. This sick f__k Uhlfelder, in that ad, turns truth on its head. The big take-away from the ad is to be that HE is the anti-Totalitarian figure and Ron DeSantis has been acting as a Totalitarian during the PanicFest. This is ludicrous when you back off and just think of what Totalitarianism actually is!

    We all agree here that this Panic was not warranted in any way. I maintain, however, that even if this newest bad bug out of the Orient HAD BEEN basically Black Death 2.0, the Totalitarianism we’ve seen would have been unwarranted. (As I’ve written elsewhere, I’m pretty sure my family would have hunkered down after seeing 1 out of 5 people on our street dropping dead, without needing the advice of even the best iteration of an Anthony Fauci or Deborah Birx.)

    If there had been a darned (OK WordPress, fine!) good reason in most people’s minds for massive quarantining, forced closing of businesses and schools due to Black Death 2.0, well, one still could call it Totalitarianism – it’s just that most people (not me) would have agreed with implementing Totalitarianism.

    No, but (back to this POS) Daniel Uhlfelder in his ad turns the guy who did not implement Totalitarian measures in the State of Florida as the Totalitarian. This is how the lie is done: [uhlfelder] By caring, not for freedom, but so much more for the otherwise-would-be-now-dead people of Florida, Mr. Uhlfelder is the anti-Totalitarian. He cares, see? Ron DeSantis doesn’t. [/uhlfelder] People may not see that saving lives, even if that were what this guy had done with his Grim Reaper on the beach act, by taking away freedom is Totalitarianism nonetheless. [uhlfelder] Those who do not care about people dying are bad. Since they kill people, they are Totalitarians. Those, like me, who do care so much, may take away a great many of your liberties, but I saved people, so I am an anti-Totalitarian… somehow ..

    Of course Mr. Uhlfelder plays the NAZi card as part of this. That’s always a good card to play when your are not sure of your hand, and there are the demographics of south Florida, so, yeah …

    • Hail says:

      “[Uhlfelder mode] Those who do not care about people dying are bad. Since they kill people, they are Totalitarians. Those, like me, who DO care so much, may take away a great many of your liberties, but I saved people, so I am an anti-Totalitarian…”

      I think this logic works, unfortunately, on a lot of people.

  5. Hail says:

    Daniel Uhlfelder campaign purpose statement, released with his campaign launch (March 8, 2022):

    “FOR THE PEOPLE. I am running for Attorney General because for the last 4 years, this Governor [i.e., Ron DeSantis] and Attorney General [i.e., Ashley Moody] have been more interested in BULLYING those they don’t agree with than helping Florida families.”

  6. Hail says:

    “To Keep Women Safe, Democrats need to Fight,” Op-Ed by Daniel Uhlfelder in the Tallahassee Democrat newspaper, July 7, 2022:

    “[…] Two years ago, I put on a grim reaper’s costume to draw attention to the dangerous policies that kept inviting tourists to crowded Florida beaches as COVID started rapidly spreading through the state. It was a bold gamble with my personal and professional reputation, but it got a lot of attention because it was bold.

    Democrats need bolder leadership now. President Biden’s tepid ‘there’s only so much I can do’ attitude in response to the Roe-leak and subsequent Supreme Court decision has been a case study in failure of leadership.”

  7. Hail says:

    The extreme Corona-Panic-pusher Daniel Uhlfelder, speaking July 30, 2022:

    “It doesn’t matter if you’re a Democrat or a Republican. It’s clear that Ron DeSantis and Ashley Moody are *too damn extreme* for Florida!”

  8. Hail says:

    Uhlfelder has revived the Grim Reaper costume for the attorney general campaign.

    He is touring the state under the slogan “Killed at the pump” and the questionable tagline, “It’s time that somebody stands up to the corporations that are taking advantage of Floridians.”

    We expect, of course, media cameras to be following.

  9. Hail says:

    Political updates and running commentary on the Florida elections of 2022

    (of importance because of the DeSantis reelection and the impending DeSantis for President 2024 campaign with national and even world implications.)

    In the Democratic primary Governor’s race:

    It’s Charlie Crist (half-Near Eastern Christian, half-NW European of colonial-era origin), and currently in the U.S. Congress from the Tampa Bay area; vs. Nikki Fried (Jewish), who squeaked by her opponent in 2018 to somehow win as Florida agricultural commissioner (50.04% to 49.96%).

    We see some more clues to what’s behind the Left coalition: Nikki Fried (b.1977) is as proud as proud can be of her Jewish identity. She is what can in a general way be called a Zionist. Crist (whose name is shortened from a Greek name) is quietly a Methodist, which is one of several Christian traditions in his recent pedigree (Greek-Orthodox, Oriental-Orthodox, many forms of Protestant on mother’s side). On the political side, Crist is a moderate and former Republican; Nikki Fried presents herself as a committed, standard-model Leftist.

    Charlie Crist is helped by being the popular former governor. He has a 95%+ chance of winning the Democratic primary, maybe substantially (over 65-35 margin).

    The non-surprise of the century but of interest to my ongoing theme of the Corona-Panic: Nikki Fried was a consistent Pro-Panic voice, including in her role as a statewide office-holder in 2020 and 2021, the only one in the Florida government. She demanded full lockdowns. Ron DeSantis nicknamed her the “Lockdown Lobbyist.” She only gave up on lockdownism in principle by summer 2021 but still kept up new variants of Panic-pushing and feuded with the DeSantis people. This is a big contrast with Anti-Panicker, anti-mandate, anti-lockdowner, pro-DeSantis attorney general Ashley Moody.


    In the Attorney General race:

    The polls suggest it’s still wide open.

    Aramis Ayala is helped a lot by active Black and Hispanic support. In 2020, 41% of Dem primary voters were Black and/or Hispanic, with Black women the major driving group (17% of Dem primary voters in 2020 were Black women, 9% Black men). I still cannot see Aramis Ayala beating Uhlfelder.

    The left-libertarian goofball lawyer Jim Lewis did surprisingly well in the most recent poll. I may have been wrong to “write him off.” Since he has no organization or money, it’s hard to imagine he gets past the finish line. He may have a strong “fan base” for his years of antics.

    An August 2-3 poll finds Dem primary likely voters say they are for:
    – Uhlfelder 9%
    – Aramis Ayala 18%
    – Jim Lewis 17%
    – Undecided 56%

    With such a huge pool of Undecideds, the millions of dollars Daniel Uhlfelder campaign has to play with, and the string of newspaper endorsements (today, the South Florida Sun-Sentinel), may be decisive.

    In the general election, Ron DeSantis is still forecast with a 95% chance of winning for governor and this popularity will help Ashley Moody defeat Uhlfelder.

    My previous comments about “Florida’s Ethnopolitical Demographics” apply to all of the above. The Aramis Ayala base is US-Black, Caribbean-Black, and the many types of nonwhite Hispanic, in that order. The Uhlfelder base is must be Jews and their outsized influence, and also in his case the most committed members of the old Corona-Panicker coalition. Nikki Fried would not be much of anywhere without the Jewish base, I think.

  10. Hail says:

    DeSantis targets “Soros DA” Andrew Warren

    Ron DeSantis has fired a state prosecutor who selectively enforced the law according to the prosecutor’s political views. This act made national news yesterday, about three days after I published this post.

    The man fired, Andrew Warren, was touted as one of the “Soros district attorneys.” Andrew Warren has deep ideological commitments that led him to refuse to prosecute ‘crimes’ when they are causes celebrated by the Left. He had most recently declared he would never, never, never bring a case related to abortion regardless of the law, even existing Florida law (before the Supreme Court decision).

    Also of note, the same district attorney, Andrew Warren, in late March 2020 announced triumphantly and self-righteously that he had ordered the arrests of, and criminal charges against, a number of pastors in his jurisdiction who had held church in-person services during the “lockdowns.” He held a press conference to morally shame the pastors he had ordered arrested.

    The relevance to the Uhlfelder campaign: the whole case involving “Soros-backed” Andrew Warren is EXACTLY on the theme of the section of this post on Aramis Ayala, Daniel Uhlfelder’s Dem-primary opponent. See the six or so paragraphs that start with: “Aramis Ayala is best known, or most notorious in Florida politics, for publicly and stridently refusing to ever seek the death penalty in any circumstances,” especially on the topic of “personal nullification” and regime-dysfunction.

    Uhlfelder himself has distanced himself from Aramis Ayala’s selective prosecutions, and Uhlfelder has suggested he is not against the death penalty in principle. (But Uhlfelder is still proud of his Panic-pushing over a flu virus; see his revival of his Grim Reaper costume for the campaign trail. Lockdowns, Panic and the chaos they brought, were like an indirect death sentence; Uhlfelder is unapologetic for that.)

    • Mr. Hail, I just read your comment here, and I your similar comment on Peak Stupidity here. The firing of Andrew Warren is great news. The actions of Aramis Alaya completely make sense now, as something more than just the tribal blacks excusing themselves from the rule of law due to blackness. George Soros wouldn’t mind if it looked like that though …

      What a stark difference Gov. DeSantis action here makes as compared to Donald Trump and Jeff Sessions – don’t get me wrong, I’m not at all comparing the great immigration patriot Sessions with this POS Alaya. It’s just that if Session’s recusal of himself was hurting Donald Trump, well, Trump could have privately asked Sessions to resign, come up with a decent excuse for the public, and then supported Sessions in his later run for Senator from Alabama. This is as opposed to what Trump did, which was to get in a long pubic he said/she said tweeting match, and then support Sessions’ Alabama Senate primary opponent later on (thereby losing one of the best Senators on immigration, Trump’s signature issue!), out of pure spite. That was 14 y/o schoolgirl stuff.

      I read about these Soros-supported D/A’s A/G’s etc, all over the country. No doubt this is a plan, a strategy, a conspiracy. As for Dan Uhlfelder, I guess he doesn’t need Soros’ money as much, and Soros doesn’t need to pay him – Uhlfelder’s already down with the destroy-America agenda.

      • Hail says:

        It’s for the kinds of reasons you bring up, and reading-between-the-lines efforts in polls, that convinces me DeSantis is the front-runner for the R nomination in 2024.

    • Hail says:

      See below for an update on the Andrew Warren case, as Daniel Uhlfelder speaks out on behalf of the fired Andrew Warren.

      This in the context of Uhlfelder making another appeal for Jewish support (including an endorsement from the Israeli press) ahead of the election.

  11. Hail says:

    I forgot to add:

    the first time Daniel Uhlfelder is mentioned on Hail To You was Sept. 30, 2021. That predates the “On Daniel Uhlfelder, Corona-activist and Panic-pusher; an exploration into ‘why’ some embraced the Panic. investigative post.

    He was then head of an anti-DeSantis political action group called the “Remove Ron” campaign. I suppose the legal successor of “Remove Ron” as an entity may be the Uhlfelder For Attorney General 2022 campaign. The “Remove Ron” group had produced and released a political TV ad aimed at attacking DeSantis:

    Here was the first mention (a comment and three replies):

    “The ad calls DeSantis “terrifyingly evil” for opposing lockdowns and mandates. The overall tone is surreal.

    Without understanding “Corona” as a New Religion — as an enormous, quasi-state-backed apocalypse cult with the Pro-Panic side vs. Anti-Panic side respectively as loyal-believers vs. villainous-heretics — the ad is puzzling.

    Some have called it a Covid Rorschach Test; committed Anti-Panickers see it as effectively a pro-DeSantis ad.

    The ad comes from a local Pro-Panic fanatic Daniel Uhlfelder [….]”

    Keep in mind that the Panic and Pro-Panic forces were still strong in Sept. 2021, but even at the time this video was mocked (see again the point about the Corona-Panic as Rorschach test).

  12. Hail says:

    Yesterday the Orlando Sentinel endorsed Uhlfelder for the Florida Attorney General Democratic primary race.

    A significant portion of Part II of this original post (on Uhlfelder vs. his three rivals–Aramis Ayala, Jim Lewis, and Ashley Moody) drew heavily from an Orlando Sentintel profile of the candidates published July 22 (ctrl-f to find it).

  13. Hail says:

    On DeSantis For President 2024

    The “Conservative Political Action Committee” (CPAC) has voted in its latest informal poll for 2024.

    Keep the following in mind when interpreting results: It was formerly a mix of “Establishment Conservative,” “Neocon influences,” libertarians (Ron Paul came in first in the 2012 CPAC vote), and disorganized populist elements including implicit-ethnonationalists. CPAC was “taken over” by Trump people in 2016. It turned out to be less a true ideological change than just a change-of-management (much like the entire Trump presidency). Non-Trump people became unwelcome. Populists and nationalists were shooed away, a kind of “closing” of the 2015-2017 “opening.” CPAC’s new bosses have banned scores of people for not being kosher.

    Some of the bans: Every person identified with the Alt-Right was banned in 2017, starting with Richard Spencer. The gay right-wing speaker and one-time Breitbart editor Milo Yiannopolis was banned already in early 2017 (even earlier than the mass-bans for the Alt-Right, I think), for unspecified reasons. The right-wing-populist tabloid-style site Gateway Pundit‘s editor-in-chief, Jim Hoft, was banned in 2018 for unclear reasons. The “streamer” personality Nick Fuentes and his followers were banned in 2019. Peter Brimelow slipped in quietly in 2018 but then was apparently banned and not allowed back in 2019 or later. Michelle Malkin fumed when they banned her ahead of the early 2020 CPAC meeting (she had still been allowed in 2019). The right-wing comedian and “Proud Boys” founder Gavin McInnis, too, was banned in 2020. At some point, Ann Coulter (an open Trump critic starting late 2018) was banned after formerly being a speaker at the conference. Many others were also banned or disinvited, including number of less-known personalities identified as too vocally hostile to LGBTQ-ism, many of these reportedly banned in the late 2010s.

    These kinds of bans have an important “tone setting” power. After some drama in 2015-2018 or so, CPAC reverted to being a gatekeeping affair. A version of what it always had been. The main difference was the entrenchment of a “Trump personality cult” element. Still, there is value in the results of their vote, especially when we interpret the results with due caution.

    Here are the results of the August 2022 CPAC poll at its latest conference. The voters were thousands of CPAC attendees, insiders and approved invitees to the group’s conference:

    2024 Republican nominee choice, with Donald Trump Sr.
    – 69% Donald Trump Sr.
    – 24% Ron DeSantis
    – 2% Ted Cruz
    – 5% Other (multiple, <1% each)

    2024 Republican nominee choice, WITHOUT Donald Trump Sr.
    – 65% DeSantis
    – 8% Donald Trump Jr.
    – 6% Ted Cruz
    – 5% Mike Pompeo (the right-wing former Secretary of State)
    – 15% Other (multiple, at or under 2% each)
    – 1% Undecided

    If the 2024 Republican nominee is Trump Sr., who should be VP?
    – 43% DeSantis
    – 9% Kristi Noem, (South Dakota governor)
    – 7% Mike Pompeo
    – 4% Tulsi Gabbard
    – 4% Ted Cruz
    – 4% “Nikki” Haley
    – 4% Jim Jordan
    – 4% Ben Carson
    – 3% Tucker Carlson
    – circa 10% Other (multiple, at or below 2% each)
    – circa 8% Undecided

    With numbers as strong as this, there seems no way DeSantis would not run for president.

    • That’s pretty encouraging, Mr. Hail, with the exception of my seeing Neocon and traitor to S. Carolina Nikki Haley on there, along with Donald Trump, Jr. (I’m sorry. He may be a good guy, but no more freaking dynasties, PLEASE!)

      I am also disappointed that Tucker Carlson is not MUCH higher up, but I can chalk that up to people thinking of him as the TV guy he is, rather than a political candidate.

      I’d like to see:

      President DeSantis
      VP Tucker Carson
      AG Ron Paul
      Actually, I’d want Ron Paul head of the State Dept. and the Treasury Dept also. A man can wear multiple hats, can’t he?
      GOP Chairman – Donald Trump (except he’d never work in a supporting role)

  14. Hail says:

    Times of Israel praises Uhlfelder, urges Jewish support

    I hate to brag–about the correctness of my own analysis–but consider this, today, from Daniel Uhlfelder:

    “Florida’s Jews find themselves front-and-center in abortion fight with DeSantis,” an article in the Times of Israel which includes praise for Uhlfelder as one of the principal enemies of DeSantis.

    Uhlfelder promoting this is, in part, an appeal to shore up his support with his base ethnopolitical bloc and continue to tap into its activist energies and influence.

    He brags about this passage from the Times of Israel article:

    “Daniel Uhlfelder, a Jewish candidate for attorney general who joined the L’Dor Va-Dor lawsuit as co-counsel, said it was only natural that Florida’s substantial Jewish population would play a starring role in the fight over abortion rights.

    “We have a sixth sense for authoritarianism,” Uhlfelder said. “We know what it is, what it looks like, so it’s not surprising that Jewish folks are sometimes ahead of the curve on spotting it and doing things about it.”

    This is more open about his m.o. than in his general-audience campaign video, but it all fits together well.

    I did a Twitter search to look for ordinary people voicing support for the Soros-BLM rival Aramis Ayala, and every person I found was visibly Nonwhite, Black and/or some kind of Hispanic.

    I point again to my run-down of Florida’s ethnopolitical blocs.

    If late-2010s and especially post-2020 Jewish migration into Florida has been as heavy as the Brandeis study of 2020 suggests, they have already crossed the “one million” line in the state. That’s compared to 11 million White-Christians. Counting only White-Christians and Jews, that would make Florida 91% White-Christian, 9% Jewish today (= 1.1 / 12.1). For Jews, that is quite a high share among a European population. They’ve been known to do a lot with less than that.

  15. Hail says:

    Now Uhlfelder is speaking in defense of the disgraced and fired state prosecutor, DeSantis-hater, and personal-nullifier Andrew Warren (see above, “DeSantis targets ‘Soros DA’ Andrew Warren“), and Uhlfelder reveals that Andrew Warren is also Jewish.

    Uhlfelder approvingly quotes Andrew Warren as having said that his (Warren’s) “Jewish identity has shaped [his] government career.”

  16. Hail says:

    Ashley Moody vs. Uhlfelder on the Aug. 8, 2022, Trump raid

    Florida Attorney General Ashley Moody is outraged at the raid on Trump’s house. Dozens of highly armed political-police, dispatched from afar, to target a former president, on Florida territory. A violation of Florida territory.

    She appeared outraged, shaken, and disturbed when interviewed on one of the Fox News evening political-news-talk shows.

    The four-minute interview:

    Ashley Moody reveals that the secret-police had NOT bothered informing her of the raid despite her status as top law-enforcement official in Florida.

    Meanwhile, her opponent for attorney general, the Corona-demagogue Daniel Uhlfelder, praised the raid in the highest of terms, gloated over it, and suggested he would continue to press the harassment of the targeted person until that person dies in prison:

    It’s about time Mar-A-Lago is treated like the crime scene it is! Committing and admitting to crimes in plain sight must have consequences in order for us to have trust in our legal system. I say, ‘Lock him up’…” (Statement by Daniel Uhlfelder, Aug. 8, 2022, on the Trump raid (a, b, c).

    (Meanwhile also, Daniel Uhlfelder’s very-honest and not-bad-faith-at-all latest campaign slogan: “Rent’s gone up? Utilities bills skyrocketed? Property insurance through the roof? You can ‘thank’ Florida Attorney General Ashley Moody who accepts large sums of money from the corporations.”)

  17. Dieter Kief says:

    I hear eocheos of Eric Weinstein’s talk with Joe Rogan before the 2020 election. Eric Weinstein said then that science has made such enormous progresses into – sacred or at least quasi-sacred- realms lately, really and it can’t be that a weirdo like Donald Trump can be president again with all this incredible results of science at his hands. – So, the battle cry is: Whatever It Takes!!! – – – – to hold the Orange Man back….

    For my ears, this is the Trump-melody that has been palying in the raid and ff. too.
    I had the impression, Joe Rogan did not quite get what Eric Weinstsein was at / what he had been up to.
    (Note: Eric Weinstein was (stilll is?) working for Thiel Capital. Peter Thiel did support Trump, I dunno whether he still does.)

    Ashley Moody’s reaction on Fox is not too focused and rhetorically – and juridically as well me thinks, – not too strong. – Compare what she says to Robert Barnes’ razor-sharp statements at about the same time in his talk with Alexander Mercouris and Alex Christoforou/ The Duran about The Trump-Raid… (ok – Barnes is top).

    • Hail says:

      I agree that Ashley Moody’s reaction is not focused or strong. The best word I can think of is “shaken.”

      I assume they contacted her late and she had no preparation. The news only came out via a Trump message on his social media site Truth Social, marked 6:51pm Eastern US Time. This interview was soon after 10:00pm. Without the Trump raid at Mar-a-Lago Florida, they wouldn’t have interviewed Ashley Moody this day. It could be they contacted her even in the 9pm hour, a camera-team arrived, and she was “on the air” within even a half hour. No preparation. Still, it was not good enough from Ashley Moody.

      Ashley Moody’s response reflects what I think is basically her Middle America White-Protestant sensibility of fair play. The problem is, many of these people including the now top law official, who uses the name “Merrick Garland” (originally family name “Garfinkel,” according to Adam Smith), do not share this attitude, and rather prefer to conspire, bend rules, and tarnish norms to crush their enemies.

      • Dieter Kief says:

        Yep This is just not Ashley Moody’s territory. That Trump-raid hat does not suit her well. Does she need to be able to handle such topics on the spot with no or very little time to prepare (what may well have been the case, as you say above, Mr. Hail). – No, she doesn’t. Because such topics are not what a regional law expert has to deal with, usually. Nobody is really prepared. (Robert Barnes’ analysis is even more impressive, seen from that angle. Maybe he was prepared though, because he is Alex Jones’ lawyer: In that role he was indeed deep into this kind of territory. “It’s true.”).

        Matt Taibbi

        wrote yesterday at the end of his above linked – – comment: kinda – Taibbi wrote about the Trump-raid and the expert’s/ the media’s  reactions to it:
        “Politico insisted such an action must have required a magistrate’s assent “based upon evidence of a potential crime.” CNN wrote how authorities necessarily “had probable grounds to believe a crime had been committed,” while the New York Times formulation was that “the F.B.I. would have needed to convince a judge that it had probable cause that a crime had been committed.” Social media was full of credentialed observers explaining what must be true. “The affidavit in support of the MAL search warrant must be something else,” said Harvard-trained former Assistant U.S. Attorney Richard Signorelli, one among a heap of hyperventilating names.” 

        Here Taibbi shows dozens or so tweets,all saying the same thing that everybody else says: Since there has been a raid, there must be a criminal case. (That was also what Freidemann Diederichs wrote in his DeSantis portrait in the German regional Südkurier paper yesterday, btw. – so: He has done his homework as a correspondent (note: Not necessarily that of an analyst…).

        Then Matt Taibbi concludes:

        “It’s amazing how short our cultural memory has become. Apparently few remember all the other times this exact rhetoric was deployed in the interminable list of other Trump investigations, only to backfire later. Does anyone remember this doozy?”

        In his article, Matt Taibbi also touches the civil war subject in this context. I write down what he might have thought when he wrote his civil-war remarks: You could not be overly surprised if folks on the other side of the political spectrum might come to the conclusion that the system is rigged. That in the US the checks are not executed any longer, and that the balance might have been lost. 
        And what the word balance stands in here for is: To keep going on in a civil way in political matter. so: Without the balances civility is in danger…

        Note: The left-right divide of the two party system in the US is a permanent invitation to project one’s own fears and one’s own tendency to lose patience with the brought scale neglect of the rules of the state. So: I read Taibbi’s civil war warnings more this way: He says that the Eric Weinstein/ Hillary Clinton approach, to stop Trump by all means necessary is a slippery path and that this path might lead to a political disaster. Taibbi says one more time: Liberals, enough is enough. – Your claims of a calamity that asks for actions outside of the rules has to stop – it had to stop before many times over already. It is way overdue to understand and act in a way that makes clear that this woke attitude to have to act above the law for moral reasons is a grave mistake. Stop doing what Mr. Hail above calls “to prefer to conspire, bend rules, and tarnish norms to crush their enemies.”

        The wokist exceptionalism (Uhlfelderian and Garlandian, possibly too…) of trans-constitutionalism that has gotten hold of all of the system .h.a.s. to Stop! And better soon than – too late.
        These is the enlightening – – light in which Matt Taibbi’s sermon and Mr. Hail’s remarks above shine…

        The fraudulent 2020 elections were an example, that had it’s jaw dropping moments for me (meaning: clear evidence, that the Weinstein-rhetoric that the Orange Man makes all kinds of actions necessary (“whatever it takes” (Hillary Clinton) = makes it necessary to act (however temporarily…) outside of the law – – had come true and – – had corrupted the FBI on a  noticeable scale too. There were quite some people who had seen irregularities in the election process and did contact the FBI without getting appropriate reactions. One of these people was this man:

        Texan security entrepreneur Russell Ramsland who said he had collected piles of evidence for election fraud and informed the FBI about his findings – here he is in a talk about his experiences with L. Todd Wood


        At the time, I more than once said and wrote: Where are the young and hungry mudrakers, who go and investigate this case especially but also other obviously super-hot cases? – Nowhere to be seen. Matt Taibbi did not look into them too, btw. – but he did look into the Russia collusion hoax – and took his stand against the liberal crowd in this case early on, what brough thim quite some trouble already. But he has clearly learned a lesson.

        But except for that – and with regard to the election fraud: Where were the young/hungry outsiders writing about that? I saw much to little of those. Was this subject Too fXXXg Big for the lonely wolf? – And/or other reasons? – – Have I overlooked the voice in the wilderness? – – – An interesting topic too. (If only we would not live in such interesting times…). I will not go on: I rather take the bike and accompany my wife down to the lake for a morning swim in the soft and slightly milky sunlight we enjoy today.

        • Bo says:

          “the system is rigged”

          Hundreds of Trump supporters in jail. Mafia or Third World style raids.

          Mlillions of illegals free, encouraged to enter.

          Public universities of California revealed to now use a 20% cap for White students, after George Floyd!

          It seems to us like it all fits together.

    • Hail says:

      “Robert Barnes’ razor-sharp statements at about the same time in his talk with Alexander Mercouris and Alex Christoforou/ The Duran about The Trump-Raid”

      It sounds like you are talking about this:

      “Trump raid, Biden DOJ crosses the Rubicon w/Robert Barnes (Live)” [2h27m] (170,000 views on the Youtube upload).

      I did a ctrl-f for “Moody,” nothing; “DeSantis,” got a few hits. Mostly to this section:

      [1:20:30] ROBERT BARNES: You’re seeing Governor DeSantis and future governor Kari Lake [the election-integrity candidate in Arizona, now Republican nominee] make very condemning statements of what the FBI did, saying that this is a “banana republic.” That was governor DeSantis’ phrase. We haven’t seen this kind of language since the Church Committee. This is the kind of language we’re seeing from institutional office holders…

  18. Hail says:

    Uhlfelder looks to coast to victory and face Ashley Moody

    “Voting day” is now eleven days away, but with the recent trend in mail-in voting it could be the race is already decided.

    All the major newspapers of the state have endorsed Daniel Uhlfelder. now including the Miami Herald. Traditionally this means he is a lock to victory.

    I don’t foresee any unexpected success for Aramis Ayala. The best endorsement she has gotten is the “LGBTQ+ Democratic Caucus,” and “Higher Heights,” a “collective political power network of Black women in political office” (see website; banner headline: “Welcome to the POLITICAL HOME for BLACK WOMEN”). It’s also reported that former Orlando Magic basketball player Shaquille O’Neill has endorsed Aramis Ayala…

    Florida doesn’t have the demographics to push the BLM candidate Aramis Ayala to victory.

  19. Hail says:

    Ashley Moody leads “multistate effort against unlawful mask mandates,” with lawsuit against Joe Biden

    In the news this week, not much noticed but the litigation over mask mandates continues:

    TALLAHASSEE, Fla.—Attorney General Ashley Moody is leading a 23-state coalition in filing a brief in support of the plaintiff in Health Freedom Defense Fund Inc. vs. Joseph R. Biden, Jr., President of the United States. Attorney General Moody argues that the district court correctly vacated the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s interstate travel mask mandate in this case. President Joe Biden’s CDC order exceeds its authority and infringes on each state’s ability to enact its own public health rules.

    Attorney General Ashley Moody said, “The American people and our courts have rejected the federal government’s unlawful mask mandate for air travel. It’s astonishing that Biden continues to fight to force passengers to wear masks on airplanes. We are once again pushing back, in court, against his unlawful federal overreach.”

    The lawsuit is a continuation of the defeat that the Biden Panic-backers suffered in mid-April 2022. At that time, a judge rejected their ongoing mask mandates for transportation. It was a long-overdue decision that truly symbolized the defeat of the Panic. It still holds now four months later, but if somehow the Biden Panic-backers’ appeal wins, the mandates will come back.

    Just hours after the decision on April 19, 2022, the Biden Justice Department angrily announced it was going to devote full resources to an appeal to try to get mask mandates back on trains, planes, buses, ferries, subways, and maybe more places still.

    Here is the “amicus brief” filed by Ashley Moody against Joe Biden. She is joined by twenty-two other state attorneys general, including several Biden-voting states:

    Click to access florida-attorney-general-ashley-moody-lawsuit-against-president-joe-biden-rejecting-mask-mandates-august-8-2022.pdf

    Ashley Moody writes, in part, in this legal brief:

    “Throughout the pandemic, this administration has turned to novel, expansive, and dubious readings of its authorities. CDC has been among the worst offenders, making “unprecedented assertion[s] of power.” […] It has not fared well. The Supreme Court summarily rejected CDC’s position that 42 U.S.C. § 264 authorized a nationwide eviction moratorium. […] CDC’s order grounding cruise ships also was soundly rejected. […] It is now déjà vu all over again, as CDC advances still another novel interpretation of section 264 in support of an unprecedented masking mandate regulating every breath of millions of Americans. The Court should reject CDC’s latest overreach… […]

    CDC cannot demand that domestic travelers be examined without evidence that they are carrying disease. […] But that is exactly what the mask mandate requires. It demands that every traveler bevisually inspected—that is, examined—without any individualized suspicion. […]

    The mask mandate is…arbitrary and capricious. […] CDC regulations say that it cannot act unless it finds local measures inadequate. But here, CDC never even studied local measures, much less developed a method to determine whether those measures are adequate. [….]”

  20. Hail says:

    On legal reactions to the Trump raid, which being on Florida soil indirectly involves the dramatis personae here (current state attorney general, Ashley Moody; her challenger, the former Corona-fanatic, DeSantis-hater, and Trump-despiser Daniel Uhlfelder, who cheered the raid):

    Robert Barnes says today:

    “The [Aug. 8, 2022 warrant to stage the secret-police raid on the Trump residencea at Mar-a-Lago, Florida] violated the overbreadth doctrine of the Fourth Amendment’s requirement of particularity. The judge clearly rubber-stamped the warrant request, the Department of Justice clearly failed in their ethical obligations, and the FBI patently violated Donald Trump’s constitutional rights. It was an illegal seizure.”

    Fourth Amendment, written 1789 and U.S. law since 1791:

    “The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized.”

    The idea is: “fishing expeditions” or general raids to look for “whatever” are supposed to not happen. Illegal, immoral, and contrary to the both spirit and letter of the law. Even without 18th-century legal wording as interpreted by priestly-class lawyers, the common man knows feels it, these raids are against the spirit a constitutional, rights-based system. (I am sure China allows such general-search raids, though.)

    • Dieter Kief says:

      The legal brief  by Ashley Moody and others about the mask mandates is: Refreshingly clear and – informative – juridical prose. Thanks for posting that stuff, Mr. Hail.(I hear echoes of the Police’s song Every Breath You Take in it – great!)

      Robert Barnes’ (strategically) weakest point is the “rubber-stamped” remark about the Floridian judge who said the raid was ok.

      The big picture here is: Donald Trump (with his German roots…) is such a Hitler-like threat to the US that – all kinds of measures are appropriate and justified – a necessity.

      This is where the Democrats “whatever it takes” formula is applied (think of Russian collusion, the rigging of elections, etc. pp.).

      This is also where the Eric-Weinstein-meme comes in – and it did play out in the Trump-raid expressis verbis: The WaPo “news” thatTrump had the nuclear code ready at Mar-a-Lago .i.s. the paranoid super-precious (nuclear)-science-tale as an implicit justification to go beyond the law. and that was what Eric Weinstein was offering a completely defenseless Joe Rogan late at night – in front of an audience, though, that counted in the hundreds of thousands*****. – *****Hehe: The one guy of these masses that still writes about this stuff and has indeed mentioned it one more time above already in exactly this raid-context seems to be yours truly; – tell me of others who noticed this Eric Weinstein “Trump shall not be allowed to approach the fruits of our nuclear science again” stuff, if you see them somewhere out there, please…

      If indeed Ron DeSantis has internally said that he will run for president, then Ashley Moody might have hesitated to do and say too much in favor of Trump when this raid happened. – This might have added or influenced what we discussed about her a tad unfocused performance in this case above. One of the weaker points of us WEIRD people is to be the servant of two masters. The Jesuits deveolopped some skills in this hindsight…(you’ve reflected on this topic lately, didn’t you, Mr. Hail…) 

      • Hail says:

        You make an interesting point about Ashley Moody’s loyalty to the governor.

        One difference between the U.S. system and (many European) parliamentary systems is:

        A (state) government’s “executive branch” in the U.S. will usually consist of close allies of the head of government (governor), friends and allies. But in a parliamentary system, there is always some kind of deal made to balance interests and the various office-holders may be at odds, more loyal to their own party, ideology, or interest-group than to the head of government (prime minister, Ministerpresident).

        (It’s a wonder that there is not more instability in German state governments and turnover among the “ministers-president”; but, then, Germany is not Italy.)

        Imagine a world of a parliamentary-like system in which a grand bargain produces a state government with a Governor DeSantis and an Attorney General (i.e, Justice Minister) Daniel Uhlfelder! (I prefer to keep that purely hypothetical and theoretical.)

      • Hail says:

        A further thought:

        The “attorney generalships” in the U.S. system are more powerful positions than may be noticed by a casual look at the system. They are a combination of what justice ministries are in most parliamentary systems along with a bulk of the responsibilities and powers held by the interior ministries. It’s inadequate to think they are “just” (so-called) Justice Ministers with a weird title. We should think more of Interior Minister to get a better idea of what’s going on.

        Although mostly forgotten now, one of the people most visible in the 1990s as an object of ire was called Janet Reno, the U.S. attorney general.

        Likewise, the names like John Ashcroft (Bush Jr.), Eric Holder (Obama), and Jeff Sessions, were all attorneys general, and highly visible in political dramas of their times, and often resented or attacked by political enemies, indicating their importance and power. (Only one was turned on by his own president. That was Sessions, turned on by D. J. Blompf). Going a little farther back, Robert F. Kennedy was attorney general under his brother’s presidency, and became a leading contender for president himself in 1968 until his own death.

  21. Hail says:

    On the American heritage of the Ashley Moody family

    I recently came across one of those biography-compilation books formerly so important for reference purposes. They can also be of interest for looking at the prominence of different names at different times. I looked up the entries under MOODY and found eleven. Many are descendants of the New England Puritans. They have been important in North America for four centuries.

    The book I refer to was Who Was Who in America, Volume I, covering deaths between 1897 to 1942) [pub. 1943]. In its nearly 1500 (thin, small-print) pages, it lists 25,000 names with brief bios. The names were based on entries from this long-running series Who is Who in America, back to its first edition in 1897, but for people who had died by 1942 (hence Who “Was” Who.

    In practice, it is a fairly objective list of people prominent in the period 1865 to 1942. Even if soon forgotten after their deaths, they were prominent enough in their own times to get entries in the “Who’s Who” reference books used heavily in libraries at the time. Many of these people have no wiki entries; all but one or two have trivial entries of little value. (But that is the value of printed material fixed to a time, not relying always on the vast blob of digital-filtered reality.)

    There are 9 people named “Moody” and 1 person named “Moodie” in this directory of ca.1865-1935 prominent Americans.

    There are no Uhlfelders.

    These are the Moodys listed in Who Was Who in America:

    Dwight Lyman Moody (1837-1899), the famous Christian evangelist and founder of the Moody Bible Institute. Anyone closely familiar with American Protestantism or who has been to seminary or the like will know the name the Moody Bible Institute and Moody Publishers, a major Christian publishing house. Dwight Moody was of long New England ancestry and religiously he embraced New England’s Calvinist tradition and rejected the Unitarian trend some were embracing. He was active in Chicago most of his adult life, where the Moody Bible Institute remains in place today, and to which I made reference in the original post here.

    Frank Sims Moody (1849-1920), a banker in Alabama, several generations of ties to Virginia in earlier generations. His gravestone in Alabama reads: “A true statesman; active and earnest; just and upright; cheerful, kind, and affectionate. Throughout a long and useful life he eschewed evil, love and studied the Bible, and walked humbly before God.”

    Gideon Curtis Moody (1838-1931). He was a lawyer and became U.S. Senator from South Dakota. He was a descendant of the New England Moodys and followed the established tradition of or ambition of New England men of the late 1700s and early 1800s of heading west and achieving greatness. First Indiana, then the Dakota Territory in 1865. In Dakota he became a leading man and among the top Republicans in the territorial legislature and then on the territorial Supreme Court. When South Dakota was organized as a state, the state legislature elected him a Senator and he served two years, but in 1891 beaten by a member of the upstart Populist Party, James Kyle. In older age he lived in California in its long peak period (before the late 20th century decline began).

    Joseph Burnley Moody (1838-1931), of Virginia. Theologian. As a young man he made his way as a merchant in Kentucky but in the 1870s heard the call to ministry and became a Baptist minister, traveling widely and pastoring churches all over the USA, including at Tampa, Florida. Possibly there is some connection to the Ashley Moody line here. He had a very good reputation as a theologian and preacher in his time, as a writer, speaker, and debater. He was a dean at several small Christian colleges.

    Walter Dwight Moody (1874-1920) of Chicago, director of the Chicago Planning Commission, 1911-1920, after being active in business and with important positions within the Chicago Commercial Association in the 1900-1910 period. Son of a Baptist pastor. The father may have given his son (Walter Dwight Moody) the middle name “Dwight” in honor of the achievements of the time by the founder of the Bible Moody Institute in Chicago, Dwight Lyman Moody (mentioned above). However, this Moody line was not from New England but old England. His father was a native of London, England; his mother French. Both parents had come to America as children in the 1850s. Walter Dwight Moody published a book, Men Who Sell Things in 1910 (“a practical work on salesmanship”) and frequently lectured and published in newspapers and magazines.

    Walter Sherman Moody (1864-1938), of Massachusetts. Pioneering electrical engineer with the General Electric Company. Massachusetts Institute of Technology graduating class of 1887. Active with that company (“GE”) during its rise to prominence in his career lasting 1888 to 1931. His 1888 start predates General Electric itself, as he started with Thompson Electric, a smaller predecessor. “Many commercial designs of electric transformers now in common use had their origin with him.” From 1908 to 1931 he was supervisor all transformer design work at GE’s Pittsfield site in Massachusetts. Congregationalist. Son was a professor of chemistry.

    William Henry Moody (1853-1917), of Massachusetts. Of the New England Moodys, and a typical representative of that class. Harvard, graduating class of 1876. He was a jurist and after practicing law a while held several major posts in the U.S. government, including Congress member (1895-1902), Secretary of the Navy (1902-1904), Attorney General (1904-1906), and Supreme Court Justice (1906-1910). Republican. Close ally of T. Roosevelt. In 1902 “Roosevelt, struck with Mr. Moody’s Yankee vigor and ability, made him secretary of the navy.” During his attorney generalship and “under his supervision, the anti-trust campaign was mapped out.” William H. Moody as U.S. Attorney General took on Standard Oil in 1906, the result of which was Standard Oil being broken up.

    William Revell Moody (1869-1933), of Chicago. A son of the great evangelist Dwight Lyman Moody (see above). Yale, graduating class of 1891. Lifelong educator with ties to the Moody Institute. He supervised the Northfield school district in Massachusetts, 1900-1925; and worked for improved education and access, helping poor Whites who in previous eras would have drifted away find their way to schooling. Another of many who left the world better than he found it. Congregationalist.

    William Vaughan Moody (1869-1910), of Indiana. “Dramatist and poet,” and professor by day job. Took two degrees from Harvard, 1893 an 1894. Thereafter was a teacher and professor, including at the University of Chicago for six years, teaching English. His most famous work is the play The Great Divide (1906), a great sensation and ‘hit’ in its time.

    Zenas Ferry Moody (1832-1917), originally of Massachusetts and a descendant of the New England Moodys. In 1851 joined the tempting call of the Pacific and went to Oregon. Soon became involved in all kinds of profitable enterprises in the territory (later state), and by 1880 was in state politics. Elected governor of Oregon, 1882-1886. Republican. Presbyterian.

    Roy Lee Moodie (1880-1934), of Kentucky. Zoologist and geologist. Univ. of Kansas, BA, 1905; Univ. of Chicago, PhD, 1908. Professor active in 1910s to early 1930s. “He published chiefly on paleopathology [and] was an authority on fossil amphibians.” An obituary said he “may be called virtually the father of the science of paleopathology.”

  22. Hail says:

    Aramis Ayala gets a little support a little late; mail-in voting news

    Although she failed to get a single major newspaper endorsement, the BLM-Soros candidate Aramis Ayala did get the National Organization for Women (“NOW”)’s endorsement. That was a few days ago. Yesterday, the Florida Progressive Caucus endorses Aramis Ayala. It’s getting late. Don’t these groups know U.S. elections are now “mailed in”?

    In related “mail-in voting” news: Starbucks is angrily suing in court its employees who are trying to start a union. The dispute is over the union’s plan to allow mail-in voting. Starbucks legal team says it’s obvious this mail-in voting scheme will lead to fraud and will be hijacked by radicals, and should be stopped immediately.

    In more other news, the notorious far-left Los Angeles County district attorney George Gascon. The one facing a recall. The one who announced his bold refusal to prosecute most crimes in the name of RACIAL EQUITY, may survive the attempt to recall him in a special referendum, because a well-paid legal team challenged and triple-scrutinized every single signature on the Recall petition, and on technicalities got enough of them thrown out that the petition fell just below the required number of signatures.

    (Calendar check: It’s 2022, not 2020.)

    Alert! Alert! Irony! Irony! Irony overload!

  23. Hail says:

    Attorney General Ashley Moody’s crackdown on opioids

    During the 2018 campaign for Florida attorney general, Ashley Moody was asked: “What is your top priority?” She said, without missing a breath: Fighting the opioid crisis.

    She has overseen vigorous prosecutions against traffickers of the drug fentanyl, again in partnership with the governor and the large Republican majority in the state legislature. (After gaining seats in Nov. 2020, Republicans control just short of two-thirds of the state legislature, most being pro-DeSantis. The whole state government is operating on the same wavelength.)

    Today Ashley Moody celebrated as cases were closed on two traffickers whom she had personally targeted. The two got 25-year prison sentences: Carlos Alberto Jimenez-Rodriguez (b.1968, probably Puerto Rican origin; active in Orlando and Deltona) and Antonio Izquierdo (b.1986, likely of Cuban origin; active in Deltona). Find their pics and info with their names + “Osceola County Inmate Search.”

    Attorney General Ashley Moody said, “If you traffic fentanyl in Florida, you will go to prison for a long time. This synthetic opioid is killing tens of thousands of people across our nation every year, and here in Florida, we will prosecute anyone caught trafficking this deadly substance in our state to the fullest extent of the law. I am proud of my prosecutors for ensuring the traffickers in this case will be locked away for a very long time.”

    Note: the USA-wide average for trafficking in fentanyl was 6 years in the late 2010s. The sentences pushed for by the Moody state justice department in Florida are way above this.

    In May 2022, Governor DeSantis signed a law increasing the “mandatory minimum sentences” for trafficking fentanyl. For small amounts: raised from the previous 3 years minimum sentence, to now 7 years minimum. For larger amounts: raised from 15 years to 20 years. And a new law whereby if a fentanyl dealer’s product is proven to cause the death of a person, the dealer can now face a regular homicide charge (up from “manslaughter”) in addition to the drug charges.

    Needless to say, this is another example of what effective use of state power looks like. Not just big talk and twitter feuds while outsourcing policymaking and governing to conmen and Kushners.

  24. Hail says:

    Election fraud arrests

    Governor DeSantis today (August 18) announced a wave of arrests across Florida, ongoing as he spoke, for voter fraud and election fraud. He said that more are coming.

    The afternoon press conference was only announced in the morning and no one knew for sure what the announcement would be. The governor showed up flanked by officials of the Election Crimes Security Office and other police officials. Reporters and a number of DeSantis supporters gathered and the popular governor spoke. As soon as he announced the election fraud arrests, cheers were heard erupting.

    State attorney general Ashley Moody was involved in the cases against those involved in the illegal activities and voting fraud. She was at the press conference. So was the Florida secretary of state, Cord Byrd.

    Challenger Daniel Uhlfelder, nowhere to be seen, is rumored to be in mourning on this dark day for his party. He observed “full radio silence” for the day. No comment at all from Uhlfelder on the wave of arrests.

    • That’s weird. Isn’t Daniel Uhlfelder the guy who says “activism is in my blood.” His Dad would have been pretty activist in pushing for fair voting so “the people’s voice will be heard”. Isn’t this the way to go about it, cutting down on cheating and fraud?

      I guess Daniel Uhlfelder’s blood just ran cold. “Full radio silence”, you say.

    • Bo says:

      Was DA Ayala’s husband arrested for his illegal voting?

    • Dieter Kief says:

      Very good news, thanks Mr. Hail. – I rub my still a bit sleepy eyes – does this really happen?
      Nobody in Germany seems to have covered this so far.

    • Hail says:

      “Nobody in Germany seems to have covered this so far”

      “Even” Fox News didn’t make any big deal of it. This is likely a “standing order,” editorial decision from the heads of Fox News: No coverage of anything about election fraud.

      In Florida, the pro-Lockdown governor candidate Nikki Fried is angry and staged an event the next day (Aug. 19) alleging the real people doing voter fraud are Republicans.

      Why no coverage in Germany: My observation is, the German media when doing America-related coverage usually takes the lead from what’s already in the U.S. news and give their own spin or interpretations. If there is a “conspiracy of silence,” it’s unlikey to get through to European media (maybe except British; as Ann Coulter says, she gets better U.S. news from the Daily Mail than actual U.S. newspapers now).

      Meanwhile, only about 60% of U.S. adults believe Biden won fairly in 2020 (exact numbers depend on how you ask the question), a finding that has not changed since the first controversies over the “100%-Biden mystery-ballot dumps” —- but after Jan. 6, 2021, no one in “prestige media” talks about it much anymore.

      Tucker Carlson is one who conspicuously refused to mention the “f” word (fraud) throughout November and December 2020. Lately he has shifted to occasionally mentioning it, ambiguously and indirectly (as, I think, a form of “saber rattling”), while knowing (I think) that he is not allowed to discuss it directly. But he does have a new UFO documentary.

      • Dieter Kief says:

        Orange Man THAT Bad – : – Sam Harris: Yes we conspired to prevent Trump but it was no hidden conspiracy, it was an absolutely justified Conspiracy in the Open!

        • Hail says:

          “If there was an asteroid hurtling toward Earth, and we got together in a room and had a conversation about what we could do to deflect the asteroid, is that a ‘conspiracy’?” — Sam Harris, on media collusion against Trump

    • Hail says:

      Picture from the press conference (note, the attorney general Ashley Moody, at right):

  25. Pingback: On elite “Neutralism” during the Corona-Panic and the nature of Power: the case of Noah Rothman | Hail to You

  26. Hail says:

    The “mRNA shots”

    Ron DeSantis now uses the term “mRNA shots” instead of “vaccines.”

    He said this to a press conference on August 16:

    “They lied to us about the ‘mRNA shots’ …. It was not grounded in data or evidence. It was basically the ‘current thing’ people would put…a mask!, and a syringe!…in their Twitter profiles, and that was like their identity. It was ridiculous.”

    After this latest attack on the core-doctrines of the Panic from the troublesome governor of the Sunshine State, the Washington Post (an early and consistent supporter of the Panic) dispatched one of its hitmen to do damage-control. Later the same day, an op-ed came out under the title: “A less deadly virus now does not validate skepticism from 2020” (by Philip Bump, Washington Post, Aug. 16, 2022).

  27. Hail says:

    Voting Day

    The Daniel Uhlfelder vs. Aramis Ayala [BLM–Soros] vs. Jim Lewis Democratic primary results should be known by Tuesday late evening US Eastern Time, which is less than 48 hours from this posting.

  28. Hail says:

    Who’s going to win? Florida attorney general Dem primary

    I still expect Uhlfelder to win.

    But there has been no public polling for this Florida attorney general Dem primary race e except one of extremely low value a few weeks ago showing most as “Don’t Know’s.” There is no PredictIt betting market, either.

    Two ways of trying to find data to guess at the magnitude of results:


    Google Trends

    People in Florida searched for “Aramis Ayala” at 2x the rate as they search for (the hard-to-spell) “Uhlfelder” in the past 90 days, acc. to Google Trends.

    But in Youtube searches (as measured by Google Trends), Uhlfelder beats Aramis Ayala by 2x. On Google News searches, Uhlfelder wins narrowly.

    “Uhlfelder” searches are strongest geographically in: Panama City, Gainesville, and Pensacola metro areas. Weakest in Miami. Miami is Jim Lewis’ home-base and his strongest place geographically for searches.

    Searches for the BLM candidate Aramis Ayala are widespread but not concentrated anywhere particularly strongly. To use a phrase commenter Dieter Kief has sometimes used here, I interpret this to mean Aramis Ayala (a Black Michigan native) is an ‘Anywhere’ and not a ‘Somewhere.’ Aramis Ayala is the only candidate of the of the four I’ve followed in this investigation and running commentary who is not born in Florida.

    Searches for the Democratic candidates far exceed searches for Ashley Moody, who is unopposed for the Republican nomination. Ashley Moody gets searches at similar rates to the Covid-demagogue Uhlfelder in the Tallahassee and Panama City metro areas, but otherwise is far behind.


    Twitter to predict result

    I did Twitter searches for the strings “voting for [name],” “voted for [name],” and “vote for [name],” using last-name only and first-and-last together, to find how many unique individuals used these text-strings in tweets since July 1 (voting opened July 22).

    For Aramis Ayala, 17 results.

    For Daniel Uhlfelder, my final is 47 results, but I did have to remove many negative or sarcastic tweets (as from a guy who writes “A vote for Uhlfelder is a vote for a drag queen in every kindergarten class”).

    For Jim Lewis, the same method yields only 2 results.

    The problem with this prediction method: Daniel Uhlfelder is already a “social-media celebrity” (232,000 Twitter followers), because of Covid-activism, anti-DeSantis agitation, and a strong place within the Democratic network.

    A straight-line prediction — i.e., if Twitter exactly predicts reality — would mean this result announced in <48 hours is: Uhlfelder wins the primary with 70%+ of the vote. If so, his Corona-demagoguery and Panic-pushing will have paid off "bigly." Let's see how well this Twitter-based prediction does.

    I expect this Twitter-prediction-methodology must overestimate Uhlfelder's strength by some large factor. Maybe it's 2x.

    Here are three scenarios based on how much this Twitter method overestimates Uhlfelder’s support. Scenario 1: no overestimate (47). Scenario 2: moderate overestimate due to his and/or his base’s heavy social media presence (47*.7). Scenario three: significant overestimate (47*.4). Scenarios 2 and 3 produce new, adjusted estimates for Uhlfelder’s strength while keeping Aramis Ayala’s and Jim Lewis’ totals (17 and 2, respectively) the same.

    Scenario 1: Straight-line from Twitter findings (no overestimate)
    – Uhlfelder @ 70%+
    – Aramis Ayala @ 25%
    – Jim Lewis @ <5%.

    Scenario 2: Twitter moderately overestimates Uhlfelder support (base x 0.7)
    – Uhlfelder @ 63%
    – Aramis Ayala @ 33%
    – Jim Lewis @ <5%.

    Scenario 3: Twitter significantly overestimates Uhlfelder support (base x 0.4)
    – Uhlfelder @ 50%,
    – Aramis Ayala @ 45%
    – Jim Lewis @ 5%.

    (Note: Blacks of all sorts (see Florida ethnopolitical demographics) are around 30% of likely Democratic primary voters.)

    I think my prediction will be Scenario 2. Timestamped and ready.

    UPDATE: This method for result-prediction is a way to test Twitter’s own predictive power versus ballots-cast reality. Posted to Twitter well ahead of results announcement.

  29. Hail says:

    DeSANTIS vs. TRUMP 2024

    The PredictIt betting market is still operational, with millions of dollars on the line from real betters.

    (It came out that this New Zealand-hosted betting market may get shut down next year, but as for now it still operates and it will honor all bets made; the “shut-down” if it happens, means no new bets can be made.)

    Trump and DeSantis have repeatedly traded places for the lead in PredictIt this year, at least six times in the past few months.

    The PredictIt-implied odds of winning the Republican nomination in 2024, as of this writing, are:

    – 34% DeSantis (down from a recent high close to 40% in late June 2022)

    – 32% Trump Sr. (down from a high close to 40% for most of July 2022)

    – 5% “Nikki” Haley (uhh, Why??)

    – 4% Mike Pence

    – about 3% each: Pompeo, Cruz, Tom Cotton, Larry Hogan, Kristi Noem

    – 10%: Someone else.

  30. Dieter Kief says:

    Would Ron DeSantis accept Donald Trump’s offer to run for / be Vice President?

    Here’s Megyn Kelly saying that Trump is still way ahead of DeSantis

    • Hail says:

      Polling, vs. betting markets, vs. expert predictions, vs. data-based estimates by other means, vs. intuitions: All come up with different answers and have their own biases.

      In polling, Trump is ahead.

      But polling for 2024 president in 2022 includes a lot of distorting factors. Low-info people, the pre-existing Trump personality-cult, and the weird containment-and-persecution of Trump the Regime has tried to do, steadily, since 2015.

      There is reason to believe the true leader, correcting for such things, is DeSantis.

  31. Bo says:

    Ayala 45%
    Uhlfelder 28%
    Lewis 27%

    90% of votes counted

  32. Bo says:

    For FL Governor
    Crist 59%
    Freed 35%
    Other 6%

    The radical Ayala won for AG, but for governor the more left wing candidate lost (Freed)…

    Probably ayala would have lost if there were only one rival not two (Uhfelder & Lewis).

    What do you think??

    • Hail says:

      I think you’re right.

      Aramis Ayala is a weak candidate, almost a caricature of the concept of Decline. She will be easily beaten by Ashley Moody.

      Jim Lewis ran almost as a law-and-order conservative and did very well considering his minimal organization and funding. Clearly he and Uhlfelder split the vote of the non-Woke-ist Whites and others.

  33. Hail says:

    Aramis Ayala’s path to victory

    A theory:

    – a strong bloc-vote from Blacks (being 30% of voters in this primary election, as we know), plus

    – the support of the most ideologically committed Woke-ists (being maybe an additional 15%+), and

    – whatever slack there was from those two groups was made up for by a strong turnout in the Orlando area, where Aramis Ayala was previously elected as one of the “Soros district attorneys” (elected, Nov. 2016).

    Against a single opponent, or in a one-on-one run-off, Aramis Ayala might struggle to get over the 50% line, but in a three-way race she was able to win with this new Democratic base coalition.

    That Aramis Ayala won this race so convincingly shows three things:

    (1) when racial politics is involved, traditional measures like newspaper endorsements and even “candidate quality” (to quote Senator McConnell) are out the window, and elections become a kind of partial ethnocultural ‘census’;

    (2) social media is not reflective of reality;

    (3) the USA is increasingly in serious long-term trouble, as the weight of the demographic problem continues to sag many things down, like a once-sturdy-and-reliable cardboard box into which a stream of cold water is poured over time. The box gets wet and can no longer sustain weight, must be treated with care, and may collapse. This kind of candidate would have been laughed off stage in any era before the past ten years or so and wouldn’t have gotten above some limited percent. The same kind of “center did not hold” produced the radical-Muslima Congressperson from Minnesota and other results. It also produced the Obama reelection in 2012, one of the first big cases of such on definitely demographic lines.

  34. Hail says:

    Twitter prediction failure, and what it means

    My Twitter-data-based estimate predicted Uhlfelder would win by about this much:

    Precited: 72%-25%-3%.

    Actual result: 28%-45%-27%.

    Both are Uhlfelder-Ayala-Lewis.

    The baseline estimate (72%-25%-3%) implied by the Twitter data over-estimated Uhlfelder’s support by about 4.5x relative to Ayala (72/25 predicted, vs. 28/45 actual), and under-estimated Jim Lewis’ support by 5x (3/25 predicted vs. 27/45 actual).

    This is good evidence for social media not representing reality very well. Jim Lewis or his campaign or supporters had virtually zero presence on social media. Uhlfelder was a twitter celebrity especially once he embraced the Covid-demagogue’s mantle.

    The original “baseline” estimate (Uhlfelder at or over 70%) looked too high. We could expect it inflated Uhlfelder’s support the reason already mentioned. I offered two other estimates to reduce Uhlfelder’s implied strength by two negative-multipliers (-30% and -60%, respectively). The second of these (-60%) this as the predicted result: Uhlfelder 50%, Ayala 45%, Lewis 5%. This turns out to be exactly the result for Ayala (45%). But it vastly mis-guessed the Uhlfelder:Lewis ratio.

    The lesson might be that any social-media-heavy social movement might be able to inflate its own strength by a considerable factor, 3x or 4x or 5x. In this case, over-estimating Uhlfelder by 4.5x on a small sample size.

    The generalizable lesson, or reminder: The Internet is not reality. If a social or political movement or campaign seems to have one third to half of the USA behind it based on its seeming strength online, it might really only have 10% or at most 15% behind it. The converse is also true: a social or political movement with a minimal profile online might well still be much stronger than it seems (as in the vast underestimate of the Jim Lewis voters).

    The problem with that generalizable lesson is: while “the Internet is not reality,” given control of institutions and agenda-setting and the media, activists can eventually eat into the political center and after a while it can become more like one third to half after all. The Corona-Panic of 2020 was an example of this happening at a vastly-sped-up pace.

  35. Dieter Kief says:

    Great that Mr. Uhlfelder did not make it! – Good news, Mr. Hail thanks!

    Mr. Hail it seems to me that this last claim of yours would be a hypothesis too – and thus also prone to overestimation:

    “While “the Internet is not reality,” given control of institutions and agenda-setting and the media, activists can eventually eat into the political center and after a while it can become more like one third to half after all. The Corona-Panic of 2020 was an example of this happening at a vastly-sped-up pace.”

    (Lots of the Corona-believers I talk too are not on social media – but they watch TV – listen to the radio (many people many hours a day) and some still read the local paper.)
    Lots of the heavily Corona-believing medical docs (I talk to those too) – read their medical journals but mainly just follow the majority. – This is also true for politicians. It is at times jaw dropping, just how little any scientific argument counts – as soon as politicians and docotrs are getting into arguments, they – – – serve this entity: The public! (= Tthe greater good (= the power (not least in their the fight against – – -Hitler (=Trump…: Evil)))).

    I also think of the simple social truth that the Corona result in Germany was not too bad and a few (!) decades back, nobody would have been able to tell the difference in performance between Germany and Switzerland or Sweden.(The only visible difference that people remember would be the collapse of some French and iItalian hospitals in some regions of those countries – and how we helped them out (we did!) – France transported very ill people with special super-fast TGV trains from Paris to Lyon etc. …

     – Now compare that to the reward people get in following the majority: The feeling to be in the herd (= to be safe!), to be individually respected – even cared for, and to – – – – do good – to serve the greater (= the societal) good. The (visible!) pleasure to serve by wearing the masks (and the darker pleasures like dominating your (however imagined…) enemy – or be at least willing to actually do more than those (think of St. Martin too).
    The Swedes are by thos people looked upon as cold and awkward (anders tegnell – stiff, slow, insecure…). – Not feely like we are. The amount of emotions such mediatised big events pour into the minds (and the hearts!) of the greater public via the electronic media is very high and intense and a public AND intimate experience: People sit before this glaring screen (the fireplace – archaic regions…!)

    …I was in Freiburg on the weekend: The main entrance hall of the humble train-station is now dominated by a maybe four meter wide screen, five meter high.

    Volodymyr Selenskyi spoke there: Just two or three sentences, which were written out immediately (Ukriane counter-offensive; attacks…) and then frozen: I was impressed, to say the least. This technically perfect huge screen dominates now your experience of walking through this hall amongst lots of people… Mr. Achmed talks about those public screens and their effects too – and rightfully so.
    If I look at my remarks, I know why I love essays (but I also know that in doing so I am in a very small group – – – -essay, poems – – and novels too. The complexity of it all was traditionally approached in Europe by literature: Poems, novels (or theatre plays). Essais. Print-journalism. Since we can’t look into the future, I can’t tell whether that is still so. And of course, Twitter does play a role. One of the best German Corona books is a look back of the very influential economist Stefan Homburg at his Twitter-experience: Corona-GetWitter (=Corona Thunder & Lightning & Twitter).

    Btw. – speaking of essays – : On the train to and from Feiburg, I read Stefan Scheil’s Der deutsche Donner (finished in March 2022) – subtitle translated: Germany’s fight with itself and the world – 1796 up until 1946,Verlag Antaios – excellent – very insightful (and well made, good looking!) small book.

    • Hail says:

      “I know why I love essays (but I also know that in doing so I am in a very small group – – – -essay, poems – – and novels too. The complexity of it all was traditionally approached in Europe by literature: Poems, novels (or theatre plays). Essais. Print-journalism. Since we can’t look into the future, I can’t tell whether that is still so.”

      There was a woman in a managerial role at a job I had in the late 2010s, who superciliously claimed that no one would ever read anything one line over 1500 words. That was the max possible for any writing in our time.

      Does this mean all points and ideas must be sliced down to fit such small lengths? It seems so.

      In saying so, she revealed more about herself than anything. (She was not a person of vision or effective management or even intellectual rigor. It was one of the cases where it was a puzzle how she got her role.)

      Another observation on the Corona-Panic, the most effective Pro-Panic propaganda was often very short: stories, anecdotes, contextless Big Scary Numbers, rolling “death counts” on screens, images, video, ‘memes.’ The best of the Anti-Panic propaganda ended up being much longer in length.

  36. Hail says:

    Corona-celebrity Rebekah Jones wins

    The mentally unstable Corona-Panicker and anti-DeSantis icon Rebekah Jones (b.1989) wins primary to face Matt Gaetz for US Congress.

    Rebekah Jones became an insta-celebrity in 2020 for histrionically spreading the baseless claim (called at the time “whistleblowing”) that Governor DeSantis was hiding numbers of ‘Covid’ deaths. It was all a fraud on Jones’ part and she was fired. The whole story was like a microcosm of the Panic itself.

    She’d have been ignored as an unstable ‘nut’ in normal times, but during the Panic she was enabled and encouraged. The Pro-Panic media paraded around on tv like a war-hero.

    She had occupied an extremely minor post in the Florida state health bureaucracy in 2020, as a kind of data-entry clerk (or, as some have called her position, “website designer”). After her fraud (was revealed, she was disgraced and fired. Some don’t care. Clearly she still has supporters now.

    Rebekah Jones was one of the Corona-“moral entrepreneurs,” or opportunists. Less morally serious than even Daniel Uhlfelder. The wreckage she had left behind in her personal life tells the story of her mental state as written up at the time by Ann Coulter, and high-functioning but mentally unstable people ended up a major constituency for the Panic in 2020 and beyond. That she still has enough wind in her sails to turn her disgrace into a political career (even if it in a safe Republican district), it’s probably not the last we hear of her…

    • Holy crap, Mr. Hail! I read that Ann Coulter column, and I remembered all that about this nutcase Rebekah Jones. I hope all of your readers will take the 3-5 minutes to read it. (I read all of Ann Coulter, and then, she is syndicated on VDare, which I read 99% of. This came back to me as soon as I read her title.)

      Rebekah Jones should be starring in a Telenovella instead, but she’s running for US Congress? Her winning the D primary says a lot about how far gone the Blue-squad voters are. I hope this will only help Matt Gaetz.

      • Dieter Kief says:

        Yep Mod. & Mr. Hail – – Rebekah Jones is an impressive change of-the-zeitgeist-guards example. 

        Once a dubious nut, now a combattant in the anti-fascist crusade. Once a deranged character, now – a woke woman!

         – – – No elite any longer, playing by the traditional rules (which asked for competence and public self-restriction (sensu communis, decency).

        Emotions instead, the .w.i.l.l.*** to – dominate (“a conspiracy in the open” (Sam Harris) / feminization / “whatever it takes”). (The Regressive Left (Dave Rubin) / The Coddling of the American Mind (Jonathan Haidt/ Gregg Lukianoff).
        ***the emotion-driven move forward to do good against an enemy (“enemy” instead of – “political opponent”)  

        Here is one more man looking for worldwide  political reactions to the woke zeitgeist-derangement – in Newsweek (!):


        Here he explains what is going on worldwide – in a few minutes on TV

        (By linking Schoellhammer, the anti-panic Bayesian UK-statistician Norman Fenton is also joining David Goodhart’s Team Somewhere.) 

    • Hail says:

      See continuing discussion in: “Crazy Rebekah Jones — Candidate for US Congress,” Peak Stupidity, Aug. 25, 2022.

  37. Pingback: The Covid-activist Daniel Uhlfelder loses to the BLM-Soros candidate Aramis Ayala: an appraisal of the Florida attorney general election race of 2022 | Hail to You

  38. Hail says:

    Florida attorney general Ashley Moody wins reelection againstBLM-Soros candidate Aramis Ayala. Moody’s margin is similar to DeSantis’ at 60%-40%. These are decisive victories for Florida given the ethnopolitical situation there.

    In at least this case, the Corona-Panic lost big.

    (see also the late-August 2022 update post here on the Florida attorney general race.)

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